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NEWZINO SPECIAL - MIDTERMS 2026

The fight for Congress

All 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and 36 governorships are on the ballot on Tuesday, November 3. Here is where each one stands, the races that decide it, and a map for each where you can call them yourself.

7
DAYS TO GO

The Senate

35 of 100 seats are up. Today it is 47 D to 53 R; the 47 are 45 Democrats and 2 independents who caucus with them. Democrats need a net gain of 4 for 51. A 50-50 Senate stays Republican on the Vice President's tie-break.

The Senate map: play what if

Each state is shaded by its Cook Political Report rating. Gold states are toss ups. Click any state that is not solid to call it yourself. Each one you call gets a gold outline, and the count on the right shows who would control the Senate.

  • Solid D (9)
  • Likely D (2)
  • Lean D (2)
  • Toss Up (7)
  • Lean R (1)
  • Likely R (2)
  • Solid R (12)
  • No Senate race
NEWZINO MIDTERMS PICKS Play with your friends Make a private group, send the link, and pick the close races. On election night your group's leaderboard scores itself as the AP calls each one. Picks lock at 6 PM ET on Nov 3. Start a group ->

The 14 races that decide it

Toss ups first. Call each one yourself.

Alaska

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DMary Peltolaspent $29.5M
  • RDan Sullivan (incumbent)spent $12.0M
Compare the candidates

Iowa

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DJosh Turekspent $16.5M
  • RAshley Hinsonspent $13.9M

Open: Ernst is not running

Compare the candidates

Kansas

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DAdam Hamiltonspent $10.4M
  • RRoger Marshall (incumbent)spent $6.9M
Compare the candidates

Maine

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DTroy Jacksonspent $25.3M
  • RSusan Collins (incumbent)spent $23.8M

Jackson was picked by a party convention after primary winner Graham Platner withdrew

Compare the candidates

Michigan

D-held

TOSS UP

  • DAbdul El-Sayedspent $41.4M
  • RMike Rogersspent $19.4M

Open: Peters is retiring

Compare the candidates

Ohio (special)

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DSherrod Brownspent $64.0M
  • RJon Husted (incumbent)spent $15.7M

Special: Vance's old seat

Compare the candidates

Texas

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DJames Talaricospent $114M
  • RKen Paxtonspent $14.6M

Open: Cornyn lost the primary

Compare the candidates

Georgia

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DJon Ossoff (incumbent)spent $126M
  • RMike Collinsspent $10.2M
Compare the candidates

North Carolina

R-held

LIKELY D

  • DRoy Cooperspent $40.5M
  • RMichael Whatleyspent $12.8M

Open: Tillis is retiring

Compare the candidates

Minnesota

D-held

LEAN D

  • DPeggy Flanaganspent $10.6M
  • RMichele Tafoyaspent $9.7M

Open: Smith is retiring

Compare the candidates

New Hampshire

D-held

LEAN D

  • DChris Pappasspent $22.1M
  • RJohn E. Sununuspent $3.9M

Open: Shaheen is retiring

Compare the candidates

South Carolina

R-held

LEAN R

  • DAnnie Andrewsspent $17.9M
  • RDarline Graham (incumbent)spent $1.2M
Compare the candidates

Mississippi

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DScott Colomspent $3.4M
  • RCindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent)spent $5.0M
Compare the candidates

Nebraska

R-held

LIKELY R

  • RPete Ricketts (incumbent)spent $13.8M
  • IDan Osbornspent $7.7M

No Democrat on the ballot; independent Dan Osborn is the challenger

Compare the candidates

Not in doubt

Solid Democratic: Colorado, Delaware, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Rhode Island, Virginia.

Solid Republican: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida (special), Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Montana, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia, Wyoming.

The House: play what if

All 435 seats are up and 218 is a majority. Seats won in the November 2024 election. The bar shows every seat by its Cook Political Report rating. The map shows where the 81 closest seats are: the more gold, the more of them a state has. Tap a state to see its seats, and call any of them yourself.

  • 5+ close seats
  • 3-4
  • 1-2
  • None

The 81 closest seats

CA-22

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DRandy Villegas
  • RDavid Valadao

FL-14

D-held

TOSS UP

  • DKathy Castor
  • RMike Beltran

FL-22

New seat

TOSS UP

  • DPia Dandiya
  • RCasey Askar

IA-02

Open, R-held

TOSS UP

  • DLindsay James
  • RJoe Mitchell

KY-06

Open, R-held

TOSS UP

  • DZach Dembo
  • RRalph Alvarado

MI-04

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DSean McCann
  • RBill Huizenga

MI-07

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DWilliam Lawrence
  • RTom Barrett

MI-10

Open, R-held

TOSS UP

  • DChristina Hines
  • RMike Bouchard Jr.

MT-01

Open, R-held

TOSS UP

  • DSam Forstag
  • RAaron Flint

NC-01

D-held

TOSS UP

  • DDon Davis
  • RLaurie Buckhout

NY-17

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DCait Conley
  • RMike Lawler

OH-07

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DBrian Poindexter
  • RMax Miller

OH-09

D-held

TOSS UP

  • DMarcy Kaptur
  • RDerek Merrin

PA-08

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DPaige Cognetti
  • RRob Bresnahan

TX-15

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DBobby Pulido
  • RMonica De La Cruz

TX-35

New seat

TOSS UP

  • DJohnny Garcia
  • RCarlos De La Cruz

VA-01

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DShannon Taylor
  • RRob Wittman

AK-AL

R-held

LEAN R

  • RNick Begich III

Alaska's Democratic Party backs independent Bill Hill; no Democrat is actively campaigning.

AL-02

D-held

LEAN R

  • DShomari Figures
  • RRhett Marques

AZ-01

Open, R-held

LEAN D

  • DAmish Shah
  • RJay Feely

AZ-02

R-held

LEAN R

  • DJonathan Nez
  • REli Crane

AZ-06

R-held

LEAN D

  • DJoAnna Mendoza
  • RJuan Ciscomani

CA-48

Open, R-held

LEAN D

  • DMarni von Wilpert
  • RJim Desmond

CO-04

R-held

LEAN R

  • DEileen Laubacher
  • RLauren Boebert

CO-05

R-held

LEAN R

  • DJessica Killin
  • RJeff Crank

CO-08

R-held

LEAN D

  • DManny Rutinel
  • RGabe Evans

FL-13

R-held

LEAN R

  • DLeela Gray
  • RAnna Paulina Luna

FL-25

D-held

LEAN D

  • DJared Moskowitz
  • RScott Singer

FL-27

R-held

LEAN R

  • DEliott Rodriguez
  • RMaria Elvira Salazar

IA-01

R-held

LEAN D

  • DChristina Bohannan
  • RMariannette Miller-Meeks

IA-03

R-held

LEAN D

  • DSarah Trone Garriott
  • RZach Nunn

ME-02

Open, D-held

LEAN R

  • DMatthew Dunlap
  • RPaul LePage

MN-01

R-held

LEAN R

  • DJake Johnson
  • RBrad Finstad

NC-11

Open, R-held

LEAN D

  • DJamie Ager
  • RJennifer Balkcom

NJ-07

R-held

LEAN D

  • DRebecca Bennett
  • RThomas Kean Jr.

NM-02

D-held

LEAN D

  • DGabe Vasquez
  • RGreg Cunningham

NV-02

Open, R-held

LEAN R

  • DTeresa Benitez-Thompson
  • RDave Flippo

NY-21

Open, R-held

LEAN R

  • DBlake Gendebien
  • RAnthony Constantino

OH-10

R-held

LEAN R

  • DKristina Knickerbocker
  • RMike Turner

OH-15

R-held

LEAN R

  • DDon Leonard
  • RMike Carey

PA-01

R-held

LEAN R

  • DBob Harvie
  • RBrian Fitzpatrick

PA-07

R-held

LEAN D

  • DBob Brooks
  • RRyan Mackenzie

PA-10

R-held

LEAN D

  • DJanelle Stelson
  • RScott Perry

SC-01

Open, R-held

LEAN R

  • DNancy Lacore
  • RJenny Costa Honeycutt

TX-23

Open, R-held

LEAN R

  • DKaty Padilla Stout
  • RBrandon Herrera

Vacant since Rep. Tony Gonzales resigned.

TX-34

D-held

LEAN D

  • DVicente Gonzalez
  • REric Flores

VA-02

R-held

LEAN D

  • DElaine Luria
  • RJen Kiggans

WA-03

D-held

LEAN D

  • DMarie Gluesenkamp Perez
  • RJohn Braun

WI-01

R-held

LEAN R

  • DMitchell Berman
  • RBryan Steil

WI-03

R-held

LEAN D

  • DRebecca Cooke
  • RDerrick Van Orden

AR-02

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DChris Jones
  • RFrench Hill

CA-13

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DAdam Gray
  • RKevin Lincoln

CA-45

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DDerek Tran
  • RChuong Vo

CO-03

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DDwayne Romero
  • RJeff Hurd

FL-07

Open, R-held

LIKELY R

  • DBale Dalton
  • RRyan Elijah

FL-09

D-held

LIKELY R

  • DDarren Soto
  • RDan Green

FL-16

Open, R-held

LIKELY R

  • DKelly Kirschner
  • RSydney Gruters

IN-01

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DFrank Mrvan
  • RBarb Regnitz

IN-05

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DJ. D. Ford
  • RVictoria Spartz

KS-02

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DDon Coover
  • RDerek Schmidt

MI-08

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DKristen McDonald Rivet
  • RTom Smith

MN-02

Open, D-held

LIKELY D

  • DMatt Little
  • REric Pratt

MO-02

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DFred Wellman
  • RAnn Wagner

NC-03

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DRaymond Smith Jr.
  • RGreg Murphy

NC-13

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DPaul Barringer
  • RBrad Knott

NE-01

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DChris Backemeyer
  • RMike Flood

NE-02

Open, R-held

LIKELY D

  • DDenise Powell
  • RBrinker Harding

NH-01

Open, D-held

LIKELY D

  • DStefany Shaheen
  • RAnthony DiLorenzo

NJ-09

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DNellie Pou
  • RRosie Pino

NV-01

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DDina Titus
  • RCarrie Buck

NV-03

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DSusie Lee
  • RMartin O'Donnell

NV-04

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DSteven Horsford
  • RCody Whipple

NY-03

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DTom Suozzi
  • RMike LiPetri

NY-04

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DLaura Gillen
  • RJeanine Driscoll

NY-19

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DJosh Riley
  • RPeter Oberacker

OH-01

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DGreg Landsman
  • REric Conroy

OH-13

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DEmilia Sykes
  • RCarey Coleman

TX-09

New seat

LIKELY R

  • DLeticia Gutierrez
  • RAlex Mealer

TX-28

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DHenry Cuellar
  • RTano Tijerina

VA-05

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DTom Perriello
  • RJohn McGuire

VA-07

D-held

LIKELY D

  • DEugene Vindman
  • RDoug Ollivant

Not listed: the 186 seats rated solid Democratic and the 168 rated solid Republican. On election night the House count above is a running tally of seats called.

The governors map: play what if

36 of 50 states elect a governor. Today Democrats hold 24 governorships and Republicans 26. Each state is shaded by its Cook Political Report rating. Click any state that is not solid to call it yourself.

  • Solid D (13)
  • Likely D (0)
  • Lean D (6)
  • Toss Up (4)
  • Lean R (3)
  • Likely R (3)
  • Solid R (7)
  • No governor race

The 16 governor races in play

Georgia

R-held, open

TOSS UP

  • DKeisha Lance Bottoms
  • RRick Jackson
Compare the candidates

Kansas

D-held, open

TOSS UP

  • DCindy Holscher
  • RTy Masterson
Compare the candidates

Nevada

R-held

TOSS UP

  • DAaron Ford
  • RJoe Lombardo (incumbent)
Compare the candidates

Wisconsin

D-held, open

TOSS UP

  • DDavid Crowley
  • RTom Tiffany
Compare the candidates

Alaska

R-held, open

LEAN D

  • DJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
  • RBernadette Wilson

Top-four primary and ranked-choice general. Bernadette Wilson led the Republicans in the primary; two other Republicans are also on the ballot.

Compare the candidates

Arizona

D-held

LEAN D

  • DKatie Hobbs (incumbent)
  • RAndy Biggs
Compare the candidates

Florida

R-held, open

LEAN R

  • DDavid Jolly
  • RByron Donalds
Compare the candidates

Iowa

R-held, open

LEAN D

  • DRob Sand
  • RZach Lahn
Compare the candidates

Michigan

D-held, open

LEAN D

  • DJocelyn Benson
  • RJohn James
Compare the candidates

Nebraska

R-held

LEAN R

  • DLynne Walz
  • RJim Pillen (incumbent)
Compare the candidates

Ohio

R-held, open

LEAN D

  • DAmy Acton
  • RVivek Ramaswamy
Compare the candidates

Oregon

D-held

LEAN D

  • DTina Kotek (incumbent)
  • RChristine Drazan
Compare the candidates

Texas

R-held

LEAN R

  • DGina Hinojosa
  • RGreg Abbott (incumbent)
Compare the candidates

New Hampshire

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DCinde Warmington
  • RKelly Ayotte (incumbent)
Compare the candidates

Oklahoma

R-held, open

LIKELY R

  • DCyndi Munson
  • RMike Mazzei
Compare the candidates

Vermont

R-held

LIKELY R

  • DAmanda Janoo
  • RPhil Scott (incumbent)
Compare the candidates

Solid Democratic: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island.

Solid Republican: Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Wyoming.

Governor ratings: Cook Political Report, as of 2026-10-27.

On election night, this page goes live

From the first poll closings at 6 PM ET on November 3, the seat counts and race calls here update as they are reported.

One email on election night when the first races are called. Not a newsletter.

Race ratings: Cook Political Report, as of 2026-10-20. Ratings are a forecaster's judgement, not a result. Candidate photos: Wikimedia Commons, with each photographer and licence on the race's compare page. Page updated 2026-10-23.