Economic Forecasting Model
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Pointing to 1.2% annualized growth ahead of release
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its first estimate of US economic growth for the first three months of 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, alongside the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The release arrived with forecasters more divided than at any point in the current cycle: the Atlanta Fed's real-time tracker pointed to 1.2% annualized growth, while traders on the prediction market Polymarket clustered between 2.0% and 3.0%.
Updated 4 hours ago
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