Economic Forecasting Model
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Pointing to 1.2% annualized growth ahead of release
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its first estimate of US economic growth for the first three months of 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, alongside the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Forecasters diverged more than at any point in the cycle: Atlanta Fed's real-time nowcast is 1.2% annualized, traders on the prediction market Polymarket predicted 2.0%-3.0%.
Updated May 31
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