Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Rule Changes

Issued the final rule

Starting October 8, every Canadian and Mexican interest rate swap cleared in US-regulated markets must reference one of two new overnight benchmarks. The old rates, the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate and Mexico's 28-day TIIE, no longer trade, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's final rule, published Tuesday, retires their clearing mandates.

Updated 1 hour ago

Money Moves

Reversed course from restricting prediction markets to suing states that oppose them; pursuing formal rulemaking after receiving more than 1,500 public comments by the April 30 deadline

Kalshi closed a $1 billion funding round on May 7 at a $22 billion valuation, led by Coatue Management with Morgan Stanley, Sequoia, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, IVP, and ARK Invest. Annualized trading volume reached $178 billion, up from $52 billion six months earlier, and Kalshi now accounts for more than 90% of U.S. prediction market activity.

Updated May 31

Rule Changes

Drafting new prediction market rules

Prediction markets have existed in legal limbo since 2003, when U.S. senators killed a Pentagon program that would have let people bet on terrorist attacks. An Israeli reservist and civilian face prosecution for using classified military intelligence to profit $150,000 on Polymarket, placing suspiciously accurate bets on the June 2025 Israel-Iran war — a first.

Updated May 29