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HM Treasury

HM Treasury

Government Finance Ministry

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Stories

Bank of England cuts to 3.75%—one vote, two stories, and a fight over what “neutral” means

Money Moves

Budget measures are now a visible input into the BoE’s inflation and growth forecasts

This cut had courtroom drama energy. The Bank of England dropped rates to 3.75%—but only because Governor Andrew Bailey switched his vote and made it 5–4. The immediate market read was hawkish-by-UK-standards: sterling rose and gilt yields ticked higher as traders pared back expectations for rapid 2026 easing.

Updated Dec 18, 2025