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Bank Indonesia holds rates at 5.75% while cutting reserve requirements

Bank Indonesia holds rates at 5.75% while cutting reserve requirements

Money Moves

Central bank raises deposit rate, loosens liquidity rules after record stock rout

Today: BI holds benchmark, adjusts other tools

Overview

Updated 1 hour ago

Bank Indonesia held its benchmark rate at 5.75% on Wednesday while raising a separate rate and loosening bank reserve rules. The mixed move aims to steady the rupiah and stock market without stalling the economy's momentum.

Days earlier, Jakarta's stock market suffered its steepest two-day fall on record, steeper than anything in the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, after index provider MSCI warned it might downgrade Indonesian equities to 'standalone' status. The rupiah, down more than 7% against the dollar this year, is the worst-performing emerging Asian currency.

Why it matters

Bank Indonesia must steady the rupiah and stock market without stalling growth—the outcome shapes Southeast Asia's largest economy.

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Key Indicators

5.75%
BI benchmark rate
Held steady for a fourth straight meeting on October 21, 2026.
5.00%
Deposit facility rate
Raised 25 basis points on October 21 to support the rupiah.
7%
Rupiah decline vs dollar this year
Worst-performing emerging Asian currency in 2026.
$10.56B
Liquidity freed by reserve-requirement cut
The 190 trillion rupiah the RRR change makes available to banks.
3.3%
September headline inflation
Inside the central bank's 1.5-3.5% target band.

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Timeline

May 2026 October 2026

4 events Latest: Today
Tap a bar to jump to that date
  1. BI holds benchmark, adjusts other tools

    Today Monetary Policy

    BI holds at 5.75%, raises deposit facility to 5%, cuts reserve requirement to 8%.

  2. MSCI warns on Indonesian stocks

    Market

    Index provider signals possible move to 'standalone' status; record two-day rout follows.

  3. Rupiah touches all-time low

    Market

    The currency hits a record low against the dollar amid cooling investor sentiment.

  4. Bank Indonesia begins hiking cycle

    Monetary Policy

    BI raises rates 100 basis points across three moves, lifting the benchmark to 5.75%.

Scenarios

1

Rupiah steady, BI holds through year-end

Possible Resolves by End of 2026

Discussed by: 15 of 29 economists polled by Reuters

If the deposit-facility hike and reserve-requirement cut work as designed, the rupiah steadies and BI keeps the benchmark at 5.75% through December. Governor Damayanti argues the 100 basis points of hikes already delivered are enough to anchor inflation, which stood at 3.3% in September, inside the 1.5-3.5% target band.

2

Rupiah slide forces BI to hike

Possible Resolves by End of 2026

Discussed by: 14 of 29 economists polled by Reuters

If outflows persist and the rupiah keeps falling, BI may be forced to raise the benchmark despite the growth cost. The record stock rout and the MSCI downgrade threat could intensify capital flight, overwhelming the deposit-rate hike and leaving a benchmark increase as the only lever with bite.

3

MSCI moves Indonesia to standalone status

Possible Resolves by End of 2026

Discussed by: Reuters, citing capital-market pressure

MSCI's warning triggered the two-day rout that pushed Jakarta's index down more than it fell at any point in the Asian financial crisis. If foreign selling continues, MSCI could follow through and remove Indonesian equities from its emerging markets index, forcing passive funds to dump Indonesian stocks and deepening currency pressure.

Historical Context

2 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

July 1997 - mid-1998

Asian Financial Crisis (1997-1998)

The Thai baht collapsed in July 1997, triggering a regional currency crisis. Indonesia's rupiah fell from about 2,400 per dollar to above 16,000, as Bank Indonesia burned reserves defending it before turning to the International Monetary Fund for a bailout package.

Then

The rupiah collapse fueled hyperinflation, wiped out dollar-denominated wealth, and contributed to the fall of President Suharto in May 1998.

Now

Indonesia shifted to a more flexible exchange-rate regime and built larger reserves, but the crisis became the standard reference point for severe currency stress in the country.

Why this matters now

The October 2026 two-day stock-market rout was steeper than anything recorded in that crisis, showing how extreme sentiment toward Indonesian assets has turned in just a few days.

May - August 2013

Taper Tantrum (2013)

Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke signaled the Fed would wind down its bond purchases. Emerging-market currencies tumbled, and the rupiah was among the hardest hit, with Bank Indonesia raising its policy rate several times to defend the currency.

Then

BI's hikes helped steady the rupiah, but the episode exposed how vulnerable Indonesia was to tightening US monetary conditions and a widening current-account deficit.

Now

The episode pushed Indonesian policymakers to focus on external resilience, including efforts to narrow the current-account gap.

Why this matters now

The same mechanism drives today's pressure: expectations of further US rate hikes keep the dollar strong and push capital out of emerging markets, forcing BI to weigh currency defense against domestic growth.

Sources

(6)