Geoff Diehl's 2022 defeat
Geoff Diehl, a Trump-endorsed conservative and former state representative, ran against Maura Healey for the open governor's seat. His campaign was underfunded and never competitive. Healey won with roughly 64% of the vote, one of the largest margins in the state's history.
Healey became the first woman elected governor of Massachusetts.
Diehl's loss set a floor for Trump-aligned candidates: they cannot win statewide in Massachusetts.
Minogue faces the same structural disadvantage as Diehl: he's a Trump donor running in a state where Trump is deeply unpopular. Diehl's overwhelming loss is the benchmark Minogue must overcome.
