DeepSeek V3 (December 2024)
DeepSeek released a Mixture-of-Experts model that matched OpenAI's GPT-4 on coding benchmarks at a fraction of the training cost. The model triggered a sell-off in AI chip stocks and forced frontier labs to justify their pricing.
Frontier labs kept performance leads but faced new price pressure; enterprise buyers gained leverage.
The event accelerated optimization of inference costs and popularized reinforcement learning on open base models.
SWE-2 follows the same playbook: post-training an open base model (Kimi K3) to near-frontier performance at lower cost, pressuring incumbents on price.
