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Who sets the rules for exiting pension plans?

Who sets the rules for exiting pension plans?

Rule Changes

Supreme Court to decide whether pension funds can change actuarial assumptions after employers leave

January 20th, 2026: Supreme Court Hears Oral Arguments

Overview

When employers exit multiemployer pension plans, they owe a share of unfunded benefits—a calculation that hinges on assumptions about future investment returns. The IAM National Pension Fund changed its interest rate assumption from 7.5% to 6.5% in January 2018, weeks after the measurement date, and applied it retroactively to employers who had already withdrawn. The result: withdrawal liabilities tripled from $935 million to over $3 billion.

The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on January 20, 2026, and justices appeared skeptical of employers' attempts to impose strict timing restrictions on actuarial assumptions. Justice Brett Kavanaugh emphasized that ERISA requires actuaries to use 'reasonable methods' to make their 'best estimate' of pension fund performance, characterizing employer arguments as facing high 'hurdles.' The Court appeared poised to side with pension fund actuaries, potentially allowing them to use the most current data available when calculating withdrawal liability.

A decision is expected by late June 2026.

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Key Indicators

1,400
Multiemployer plans affected
Number of pension plans nationwide that will be bound by the ruling
11M
Covered workers
Participants in multiemployer pension plans impacted by the decision
600%
Liability increase
How much M&K's withdrawal liability grew after the retroactive rate change
1%
Interest rate change
The drop from 7.5% to 6.5% that triggered the dispute

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

September 1980 January 2026

14 events Latest: January 20th, 2026 · 6 months ago Showing 8 of 14
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  1. Fund Adopts 6.5% Rate Retroactively

    Administrative

    After a board meeting, the IAM fund's actuary adopts a 6.5% interest rate and applies it to calculate withdrawal liability for employers who left in 2018.

  2. M&K and Ohio Magnetics Withdraw from Fund

    Event

    Multiple employers including M&K Employee Solutions and Ohio Magnetics withdraw from the IAM National Pension Fund during 2018.

  3. Measurement Date for 2018 Withdrawals

    Administrative

    The statutory date 'as of' which withdrawal liability must be calculated for employers leaving the IAM fund in 2018.

  4. IAM Fund Uses 7.5% Interest Rate

    Administrative

    The IAM National Pension Fund's actuary sets the interest rate assumption at 7.5% for funding valuations.

  5. MPPAA Establishes Withdrawal Liability Framework

    Legislation

    President Carter signs the Multiemployer Pension Plan Amendments Act, requiring employers leaving underfunded pension plans to pay their share of unfunded benefits.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

June 1993

Concrete Pipe & Products v. Construction Laborers Pension Trust (1993)

An employer challenged the constitutionality of MPPAA withdrawal liability after being assessed a share of unfunded benefits upon leaving a multiemployer pension plan. The employer argued the assessment violated due process and constituted an unconstitutional taking of property.

Then

The Supreme Court upheld MPPAA, ruling that withdrawal liability was constitutional and describing it as a 'fixed and certain debt' that employers assumed by participating in the plan.

Now

The decision established the legal foundation for withdrawal liability, confirming Congress's authority to impose financial obligations on departing employers. It remains the leading precedent in ERISA multiemployer cases.

Why this matters now

The current case tests what 'fixed and certain' means in practice. If assumptions can change after the measurement date, employers argue the debt is neither fixed nor certain when they make withdrawal decisions.

December 2022

Central States Teamsters Pension Fund Bailout (2022)

The Central States, Southeast & Southwest Areas Pension Fund received $35.8 billion from the PBGC's Special Financial Assistance program—the largest single pension bailout in U.S. history. The fund, which covered 357,000 Teamsters, had been projected to run out of money by 2025 due to decades of underfunding and employer withdrawals.

Then

The bailout restored the fund's ability to pay full benefits through 2051, avoiding cuts of up to 40% for retirees.

Now

The program demonstrated federal willingness to backstop troubled multiemployer plans but raised questions about moral hazard and whether remaining employers should bear exit costs when federal assistance is available.

Why this matters now

The Central States crisis shows what happens when employer withdrawals accelerate: remaining employers face growing liability, more exit, and the fund spirals toward insolvency. Today's case affects incentives for employers considering withdrawal.

September 1980

MPPAA Passage (1980)

Congress passed the Multiemployer Pension Plan Amendments Act to address a wave of employer withdrawals that were destabilizing pension plans. Before MPPAA, employers could exit plans without paying their share of unfunded benefits, leaving remaining employers and the PBGC holding the bag.

Then

MPPAA imposed withdrawal liability on departing employers, requiring them to pay their allocable share of unfunded vested benefits.

Now

The law stabilized the multiemployer system for decades but created an exit barrier that some argue traps employers in troubled plans. Courts have since grappled with how to calculate liability fairly.

Why this matters now

The current dispute centers on MPPAA's requirement to calculate liability 'as of the end of the plan year.' Congress's 1980 intent—balancing employer predictability against plan solvency—is at the heart of the interpretive question before the Court.

Sources

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