The enrollment cliff (2025-2030)
Demographers projected a sharp drop in the U.S. college-age population starting in the mid-2020s, driven by lower birth rates during the 2008 recession. Several universities, including the University of Utah, now forecast multi-year enrollment declines.
Universities nationwide began cutting programs, freezing hiring, and restructuring operations to prepare for lower tuition revenue.
The enrollment cliff has accelerated consolidation and workforce reductions across American higher education.
The University of Utah projects its own enrollment drop starting in 2032, a key reason its leaders say they are cutting staff now from a position of strength.
