NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Built World

Issued the El Niño Advisory and the seasonal strength forecast

NOAA declared El Niño on June 11. The odds of a 'very strong' winter event are now 63 percent, nearly double the May estimate. The World Meteorological Organization followed within days, urging all countries to bolster early warning systems before the event strengthens.

Updated Jun 12

Built World

Issuing the 2026 El Niño outlooks

Satellites tracked 150 million hectares of burned land globally in the first four months of 2026. That is roughly the size of Alaska, and about double the historical average for January through April.

Updated May 12