Haitham Al Ghais

Built World

Chairing the alliance through its first post-UAE meeting

For decades, every OPEC+ output decision had the United Arab Emirates in the room, usually pushing to pump more. On Sunday, ministers met in Vienna without it for the first time. The UAE's exit took effect May 1 and pulled about 3.5 million barrels a day out of the group's quota math.

Updated Jun 7

Money Moves

Managing institutional response to second major exit in two years

The United Arab Emirates joined OPEC in 1967, when crude sold for under $2 a barrel. On May 1, 2026, after fifty-nine years, it walks out—taking roughly 13% of OPEC's production capacity, according to the International Energy Agency.

Updated May 31

Money Moves

Defending bullish demand forecasts against IEA projections

Brent crude averaged $80 per barrel in 2024. The U.S. Energy Information Administration now forecasts it will fall to $58 in 2026 and $53 in 2027—a decline of more than one-third in three years. The reason: global oil production is growing faster than demand, and inventories are piling up at a rate not seen since the pandemic.

Updated May 27