1
Automattic names permanent CEO as Mullenweg's leave becomes an exit
Likely
Resolves by Jun 1, 2027
Discussed by: TechCrunch, 404 Media, The Verge — all report the board acted against Mullenweg's will, a sign the departure is meant to be permanent
The board replaces Mullenweg permanently, either promoting Mark Davies or hiring externally. Mullenweg keeps his board seat and WordPress leadership, deepening the split between company and open-source project. This mirrors most founder ousters, where a forced leave is a precursor to formal removal.
2
Mullenweg returns as CEO after his leave
Unlikely
Resolves by Jun 1, 2027
Discussed by: A person close to the situation told TechCrunch the timing may be tied to Mullenweg's annual Burning Man trip, suggesting the ouster may not be final
The board reinstates Mullenweg, possibly after negotiations or after his legal leverage over the WordPress project forces the directors' hand. Mullenweg's continued control of WordPress.org gives him unusual bargaining power — the company's products depend on infrastructure he personally governs.
3
Mullenweg challenges the board in court
Possible
Resolves by Jan 15, 2027
Discussed by: Byteiota and other coverage note the WP Engine sanctions motion and Mullenweg's combative legal posture; a founder fight with his own board is a common next step
Mullenweg files suit in Delaware over the board's removal, arguing breach of fiduciary duty or a flawed process. He told employees he asked for time to review the resolution with independent counsel and was denied — a claim that could anchor a legal challenge.
4
WP Engine antitrust case reaches a jury
Likely
Resolves by Oct 31, 2027
Discussed by: US District Judge Araceli Martínez-Olguín set the trial date; WP Engine's four reinstated claims are the core of the case
The trial is scheduled for October 2027. The surviving claims ask a jury to decide whether Mullenweg's control of WordPress.org amounts to illegal monopolization. Settlement before then would end this scenario.
5
Sanctions ruling lands against Mullenweg
Possible
Resolves by End of 2026
Discussed by: WP Engine's July 2026 sanctions motion and the September 30 hearing before Magistrate Judge Ajay Krishnan
WP Engine alleges Mullenweg failed to preserve WhatsApp, Signal, and Telegram messages relevant to the case. Automattic says it produced over 225,000 documents and WP Engine cannot identify a single missing case-relevant message. A sanctions ruling could affect evidence or credibility at trial.