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Italy parliament approves Meloni's electoral reform

Italy parliament approves Meloni's electoral reform

Rule Changes

Fully proportional system with 42% seat bonus faces constitutional challenge

Today: Chamber gives final approval to electoral reform

Overview

Updated 1 hour ago

Italy's parliament gave final approval Thursday to a sweeping electoral overhaul championed by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni. The lower house voted 227-164 to replace the country's mixed voting system with a fully proportional one.

The reform awards 105 bonus seats to any coalition that wins the largest vote share and exceeds 42%. Opposition parties call it a 'scam law' and plan to challenge it in the Constitutional Court.

Why it matters

The new rules could hand one coalition a guaranteed majority in Italy's next election — or backfire on the prime minister who wrote them.

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Key Indicators

227-164
Final vote in Chamber of Deputies
The lower house approved the reform in a secret ballot.
42%
Threshold for seat bonus
Coalitions must exceed this vote share in both houses to qualify for bonus seats.
105
Bonus seats for winning coalition
70 in the Chamber of Deputies and 35 in the Senate.
3%
Party threshold for parliament
Parties need at least 3% of the vote to enter parliament; coalitions need 10%.

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

2026 October 2026

2 events Latest: Today
  1. Chamber gives final approval to electoral reform

    Today Legislation

    The Chamber of Deputies votes 227-164 to approve the reform, giving it final parliamentary approval. Opposition pledges constitutional challenge.

  2. Senate passes electoral reform with modifications

    Legislation

    The Senate approves the reform, adding preference votes with blocked list leaders.

Scenarios

1

Constitutional Court strikes down Meloni's electoral reform

Possible Resolves by Mar 1, 2027

Discussed by: Center-left opposition and a network of constitutional lawyers

A network of lawyers and campaign groups plans to file cases in about 30 civil courts as soon as the law takes effect. If judges refer the cases to the Constitutional Court, it could rule as early as February 2027. The court struck down parts of Matteo Renzi's Italicum in 2017, setting a precedent for judicial intervention in electoral laws.

2

Reform survives, Meloni wins 2027 election with bonus seats

Unlikely Resolves by End of 2027

Discussed by: Meloni's governing coalition

The reform stands, and Meloni's coalition reaches the 42% threshold in the 2027 general election. The 105 bonus seats turn a narrow victory into a comfortable majority, giving Italy a more stable government.

3

Reform backfires, center-left wins

Possible Resolves by End of 2027

Discussed by: Analysts including Giovanni Orsina of Luiss University

Roberto Vannacci's National Future party siphons votes from Meloni's coalition, preventing it from reaching 42%. The center-left, if it overcomes internal divisions, wins the election. Orsina says the law 'creates a completely open competitive landscape.'

Historical Context

2 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

May 2015 - February 2017

Italicum electoral law (2015-2017)

Matteo Renzi's government passed the Italicum, an electoral law that included a majority bonus for the winning party. In 2017, the Constitutional Court threw out part of it.

Then

The law was partially invalidated, forcing a return to proportional representation.

Now

Set a precedent for the court reviewing electoral laws for constitutional compliance.

Why this matters now

The same court may now review Meloni's reform, which also includes a majority bonus.

1946-present

Italy's post-war government turnover (1946-present)

Italy has been known for frequent changes of administration since World War Two. Meloni's government, at almost four years, is the longest-lasting since the war.

Then

Governments have often been fragile and short-lived.

Now

Electoral reforms have been attempted repeatedly to address instability.

Why this matters now

Meloni's reform is the latest attempt to produce clearer winners and more stable governments.

Sources

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