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Upacicalcet meets primary endpoint in two Phase 3 trials for dialysis patients

Upacicalcet meets primary endpoint in two Phase 3 trials for dialysis patients

New Capabilities

Pathalys Pharma's IV calcimimetic cut parathyroid hormone; an FDA submission may follow

2 days ago: PATH-1 and PATH-2 results presented

Overview

Updated 1 hour ago

Nearly all patients on dialysis develop secondary hyperparathyroidism, a condition in which parathyroid hormone climbs out of control and raises the risk of bone fractures and heart disease. On October 23, Pathalys Pharma presented Phase 3 data showing its intravenous drug upacicalcet reduced PTH by at least 30% in 42% of treated patients, versus 17% on placebo, in each of two identical trials.

The results, published the same day in the Journal of the American Society of Nephrology, set up an FDA submission. Upacicalcet has been sold in Japan since 2021. An approval would give US dialysis patients the first new calcimimetic since 2017.

Why it matters

If the FDA approves it, upacicalcet would be the first new IV calcimimetic for US dialysis patients in nearly a decade.

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Key Indicators

42.1%
PATH-1 primary endpoint rate
Patients on upacicalcet cutting PTH by 30% or more, versus 16.8% on placebo.
43.5%
PATH-2 primary endpoint rate
Same endpoint in the second trial, versus 17.4% on placebo.
768
Patients across both trials
Randomized 2:1 to upacicalcet or placebo after each dialysis session for 27 weeks.
23%
Asymptomatic hypocalcemia, PATH-1
The most common side effect, versus 8% on placebo; symptomatic cases were rare.

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Timeline

2021 October 2026

3 events Latest: 2 days ago
  1. PATH-1 and PATH-2 results presented

    Latest Clinical Results

    Both pivotal US trials meet primary and key secondary endpoints; papers published in JASN.

  2. Japanese Phase 3 data published

    Publication

    A 24-week placebo-controlled trial in Japanese dialysis patients shows PTH reductions.

  3. Japan approves upacicalcet

    Regulatory Approval

    Japanese regulators clear upacicalcet for SHPT in dialysis patients.

Scenarios

1

FDA approves upacicalcet for SHPT

Likely Resolves by End of 2028

Discussed by: Pathalys leadership and trial investigators

Pathalys files a New Drug Application with the FDA and the agency approves upacicalcet for secondary hyperparathyroidism in hemodialysis patients, making it the first new calcimimetic in nearly a decade. The two positive trials, with similar effect sizes and tolerable safety, support a standard review.

2

FDA issues Complete Response Letter, delaying approval

Possible Resolves by End of 2028

Discussed by: FDA precedent and trial safety data

The FDA asks for more data before deciding — whether on hypocalcemia, which reached 23% versus 8% on placebo in PATH-1, or on manufacturing. Upacicalcet is already approved in Japan, but the agency has required additional US trials for other calcimimetics when safety questions emerged.

3

Pathalys is acquired or partners on upacicalcet

Uncertain Resolves by End of 2027

Discussed by: Biotech industry observers

A larger pharmaceutical company acquires Pathalys or licenses US rights to upacicalcet after the Phase 3 success. Single-asset companies with positive pivotal data often attract buyers seeking to add a CKD product to their portfolios, which would change who carries the drug through approval and launch.

Historical Context

2 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

March 2004

Cinacalcet (Sensipar), 2004

Amgen's cinacalcet became the first calcimimetic approved by the FDA. The oral pill lowered PTH in dialysis patients but its gastrointestinal side effects and daily dosing limited how widely it was used.

Then

Cinacalcet became the standard medical treatment for SHPT.

Now

Its patent has since expired and generics are available, so new entrants must compete on dosing and safety rather than novelty.

Why this matters now

Upacicalcet enters a market where the oral calcimimetic is generic and cheap, so its value rests on the IV route and side-effect profile.

February 2017

Etelcalcetide (Parsabiv), 2017

Amgen's etelcalcetide, approved in 2017, was the first intravenous calcimimetic, dosed three times weekly after dialysis. It proved the injectable approach works but carried its own hypocalcemia and gastrointestinal risks.

Then

Etelcalcetide offered an alternative for patients who could not tolerate oral cinacalcet.

Now

It set the precedent that IV calcimimetics are viable for this population, but also established expectations about managing hypocalcemia.

Why this matters now

Upacicalcet follows the same IV model nearly a decade later, aiming to improve on the established safety profile.

Sources

(3)