Guo Jiakun

Force in Play

Condemned U.S. tariff threats against countries supporting Cuba

The United States has imposed economic pressure on Cuba for 64 years. Now, for the first time, Washington is threatening to punish any country that sells oil to the island. President Trump's January 29 executive order creates a tariff mechanism targeting third countries that supply Cuban fuel—a significant escalation that goes beyond traditional bilateral sanctions to coerce allies and trading partners into joining an energy blockade. The strategy has proven devastatingly effective: Cuba's national power grid collapsed entirely on March 17, 2026, leaving approximately 10 million people without electricity and triggering ten consecutive days of street protests—the most visible civil unrest in years. Partial restoration occurred on March 18 after 29 hours, but the blackout deepened shortages of food, medicine, and water, and included the vandalization of a Cuban Communist Party provincial office in Morón, signaling fractures in state control. On March 21, Cuba blocked a US Embassy request to import diesel for generators, escalating diplomatic tensions amid ongoing rolling blackouts.

Updated Mar 21

Rule Changes

Active

Chinese-made vehicles are being systematically excluded from Western military installations. Poland became the latest NATO member to ban them from all military bases on February 19, 2026, joining Israel, the United Kingdom, and the United States in treating modern cars as potential intelligence collection platforms. The bans target the cameras, microphones, sensors, and connectivity features standard in contemporary vehicles—systems that can capture and transmit photos, audio, video, and geolocation data.

Updated Feb 19

Money Moves

Voicing Beijing's opposition

The United States produced 37% of the world's semiconductors in 1990, but by 2024 that share had fallen below 10%, with Taiwan manufacturing over 90% of the most advanced chips. A $500 billion US-Taiwan trade framework, initiated with a January 16, 2026 memorandum and formally signed February 12, commits Taiwanese firms to $250 billion in direct US investments plus $250 billion in credit guarantees for semiconductors, AI, and energy in exchange for 15% tariffs (down from 20%).

Updated Feb 13

Force in Play

Escalated Beijing’s messaging in an official MFA transcript, explicitly labeling Taiwan the ‘first red line’ and signaling unspecified retaliatory measures.

The record Taiwan arms tranche (about $11.1B across eight DSCA notifications) is now in the congressional review lane, but the story has already widened beyond hardware: Taiwan’s Defense Ministry and presidential office emphasized the buys are contingent on legislative funding, with local reporting outlining that five of the eight cases sit inside a pending NT$1.25 trillion special defense budget—meaning the political fight in Taipei is now a direct throttle on how fast the package can move from “possible sale” to signed LOAs.

Updated Dec 18, 2025