IBM Watson for Oncology (2013-2022)
2013-2022What Happened
IBM invested over $5 billion developing Watson for Oncology, an AI system meant to recommend cancer treatments by analyzing medical literature and patient records. MD Anderson Cancer Center canceled its $62 million Watson project in 2016 after the system could not reliably process physician notes. By 2018, more than a dozen partners had abandoned Watson oncology projects.
Outcome
IBM sold Watson Health in 2022 for approximately $1 billion—a $4 billion loss.
The failure demonstrated that AI trained on hypothetical cases and medical literature could not generalize to real patients. Modern AI systems like Prima train on actual clinical data, learning from how physicians actually diagnose rather than how textbooks describe disease.
Why It's Relevant Today
Prima's approach—training on 200,000 real MRI studies with physician diagnoses—directly addresses Watson's central failure. The system learns from actual clinical practice rather than synthetic cases or literature abstracts.
