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Morocco's PAM wins most seats in parliamentary election

Morocco's PAM wins most seats in parliamentary election

Rule Changes

PAM moves toward four-party coalition, RNI ruled out

Yesterday: Mansouri favors Democratic Bloc alliance, RNI ruled out

Overview

Updated 11 hours ago

Morocco's Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) won 97 of 395 parliamentary seats on September 23. King Mohammed VI appointed PAM leader Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri as prime minister on September 29, making her the first woman to lead a Moroccan government. Her party's National Council gave her a mandate on October 3 to continue coalition negotiations.

Reports on October 7 indicate El Mansouri is favoring a four-party coalition with Istiqlal (65 seats), the Socialist Union of Popular Forces (USFP, 26) and the Party of Progress and Socialism (PPS, 19), totaling 207 seats, nine more than the 198 needed for a majority. The National Rally of Independents (RNI), which won 66 seats, is effectively ruled out. PPS was due to decide on participation October 6; no decision has been announced.

Why it matters

Morocco's next government oversees World Cup infrastructure and economic policy for five years, after record-low turnout.

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Key Indicators

207
Proposed coalition seats
PAM, Istiqlal, USFP and PPS together would hold 207 of 395 seats, nine above the majority threshold.

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

September 2021 October 2026

15 events Latest: Yesterday Showing 8 of 15
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  1. Mansouri favors Democratic Bloc alliance, RNI ruled out

    Latest Coalition talks

    Reports indicate El Mansouri is leaning toward a coalition with Istiqlal, USFP, and PPS, totaling 207 seats, with RNI effectively excluded.

  2. Coalition talks enter decisive phase

    Coalition talks

    Major parties back government participation as negotiations intensify, with the presidency of the Lower House emerging as a key factor.

  3. PPS Central Committee convenes to decide on government participation

    Coalition talks

    The Party of Progress and Socialism's central committee is meeting to decide whether to join the coalition, after El Mansouri requested a meeting.

  4. RNI National Council authorizes participation in government

    Coalition talks

    The National Rally of Independents' council approved joining the next government and authorized its leadership to negotiate terms of participation.

  5. PAM National Council delegates coalition negotiation mandate to El Mansouri

    Coalition talks

    The party's National Council, meeting in Skhirat, authorized El Mansouri and a consultations commission (including Fouzi Lekjaa, Ahmed Akhchichine and Abdellatif Ouahbi) to continue negotiations.

  6. El Mansouri meets UC and MDS in coalition talks

    Coalition talks

    El Mansouri received the Constitutional Union and Democratic and Social Movement at PAM headquarters, while PJD stayed away.

  7. PPS undecided on joining coalition

    Political statement

    PPS secretary-general Benabdallah said after meeting El Mansouri that the party has not yet decided whether to join the government or stay in opposition.

  8. El Mansouri holds coalition talks with MP, USFP, and PPS

    Coalition talks

    El Mansouri received delegations from the Popular Movement, Socialist Union of Popular Forces, and Party of Progress and Socialism in Rabat as PAM seeks partners.

  9. Benkirane says PJD will not attend meeting with El Mansouri

    Political statement

    PJD secretary-general Abdelilah Benkirane announced Wednesday evening that no party leaders would attend the Thursday meeting at PAM headquarters.

  10. UC and MDS agree to form joint parliamentary group

    Coalition talks

    The Constitutional Union (17 seats) and Democratic and Social Movement (8 seats) announced they will sit together in the House, forming a joint parliamentary group of 25 seats.

  11. PAM wins 97 seats, RNI 66, Istiqlal 65, PJD 54

    Election results

    Interior Minister Abdelouafi Laftit announced preliminary results. Turnout was 38%, the lowest in nearly two decades.

  12. El Mansouri says premiership would be 'a great honor', opens coalition talks

    Political statement

    At a Rabat press conference, El Mansouri said she would have no 'red lines' in negotiations. 'We have turned the page,' she said, a shift from the campaign, when PAM ruled out renewing its partnership with RNI.

  13. Benkirane alleges electoral fraud, keeps PJD in opposition

    Political statement

    PJD leader Abdelilah Benkirane called PAM's victory 'tainted by an electoral [fraud] operation' and said his party would not join a PAM-led government.

  14. Moroccans vote in parliamentary election

    Election

    Polling day for the 395-seat House of Representatives amid youth unemployment and demands for better public services.

  15. RNI wins 2021 election; PJD collapses to 13 seats

    Election

    RNI led by Aziz Akhannouch won the most seats, ending a decade of Islamist-led government. PJD fell from governing party to 13 seats.

Scenarios

1

El Mansouri Named Morocco's First Female Prime Minister

Possible Resolves by Dec 1, 2026

Discussed by: The National, ABC News, Reuters

King Mohammed VI appoints El Mansouri as required by the constitution, which mandates the prime minister come from the party with the most seats. She assembles a coalition with Istiqlal (65 seats) and leftist parties USFP, PPS, and FGD (53 combined), reaching a majority without RNI. The outcome depends on whether those parties accept PAM's policy terms and whether the palace backs her.

2

Lekjaa Chosen as Prime Minister for the World Cup Government

Possible Resolves by Dec 1, 2026

Discussed by: ABC News

The king bypasses El Mansouri in favor of Fouzi Lekjaa, whose role as budget minister and football federation president makes him a natural manager of the 2030 World Cup build-out. Lekjaa joined PAM weeks before the vote, so his appointment would honor the election result while giving the palace a technocrat attuned to infrastructure and sports diplomacy.

3

PAM Forced Back Into Coalition With RNI

Unlikely Resolves by Dec 15, 2026

Discussed by: The National

If Istiqlal or the leftist parties refuse PAM's terms, PAM may need RNI's 66 seats to reach a majority, despite ruling out a renewed partnership during the campaign. That would require swallowing a party PAM leaders publicly blamed for failed policies, producing a fragile coalition under heavy public scrutiny.

4

PJD Challenges Results Over Fraud Allegations

Possible Resolves by Oct 31, 2026

Discussed by: Abdelilah Benkirane, Morocco World News

Benkirane called PAM's victory 'tainted by an electoral [fraud] operation' and said PJD would stay in opposition. If the party files formal complaints, Morocco's Constitutional Court would review them before certifying final results. A prolonged challenge would delay government formation.

5

Four-Party Coalition Without RNI

Likely Resolves by Oct 9, 2026

Discussed by: Le360 sources, Morocco World News

El Mansouri is leaning toward a coalition with Istiqlal, USFP and PPS, totaling 207 seats. If all three agree, the government forms without RNI, which has expressed a desire to join but would be excluded.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

September 2021

Morocco's 2021 election (2021)

The National Rally of Independents won the largest share in Morocco's 2021 election, ending a decade of Islamist-led government. The PJD, which had governed since 2011, collapsed to 13 seats. RNI went on to govern with PAM and Istiqlal.

Then

Aziz Akhannouch became prime minister and led a three-party coalition for five years.

Now

The coalition eroded amid policy disagreements; PAM and RNI relations grew strained, setting up the 2026 realignment.

Why this matters now

The 2021 result created the coalition that just fractured, with PAM now breaking from its former partner RNI.

July 2011

Morocco's 2011 constitutional reform (2011)

After Arab Spring protests, Morocco adopted a constitution requiring the king to appoint the prime minister from the party that wins the most parliamentary seats. The reform also expanded parliament's powers over legislation and the budget.

Then

The PJD won the 2011 election and formed a government, marking the first time the Islamist party led Morocco.

Now

The monarchy retained control over defense, foreign affairs, and strategic policy, meaning elections determine who manages the state but not who sets its core direction.

Why this matters now

This constitution is the mechanism that turns PAM's seat victory into a claim on the prime ministership.

October 2021

Tunisia appoints first Arab female prime minister (2021)

Tunisia's president appointed Najla Bouden as prime minister, making her the first woman to lead a government in the Arab world. Bouden, an engineering professor, formed a technocratic cabinet amid a political crisis.

Then

Bouden formed a government and served as head of state in a period of economic strain.

Now

Her appointment set a precedent for women leading Arab governments, though Tunisia's political trajectory since has been marked by executive centralization.

Why this matters now

If El Mansouri is appointed, she would be the second Arab woman to hold the post, drawing a direct comparison with Bouden.

Sources

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