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Stanford emerging technology review

Stanford emerging technology review

New Capabilities

Annual briefings bridge Silicon Valley research and Washington policy

February 4th, 2026: Hoover Institution Highlights SETR Washington Event

Overview

Congress defunded its own technology assessment office in 1995. Three decades later, Stanford University is trying to fill that gap. The third annual Stanford Emerging Technology Review debuted in Washington on January 28, 2026, with Hoover Institution scholars briefing senators, White House officials, and agency leaders on ten frontier technologies affecting national competitiveness.

The report synthesizes research from over 100 Stanford faculty across 40 departments into actionable intelligence for policymakers. China now publishes eight times more top-cited synthetic biology papers than the United States. Quantum computers are approaching the capability to break current encryption.

AI infrastructure demands are straining critical mineral supply chains controlled largely by Beijing. The bipartisan audience—including Senators Chris Coons and Dave McCormick, who have co-sponsored AI infrastructure legislation—suggests growing congressional appetite for systematic technology guidance.

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Key Indicators

10
Frontier technologies surveyed
AI, biotech, quantum, semiconductors, energy, robotics, space, neuroscience, materials science, and cryptography
100+
Stanford scholars contributing
Faculty from 40 departments and research institutes across the university
350 vs 41
China vs US biotech papers (2023)
Top-cited synthetic biology publications, highlighting competitiveness gap
3
Annual editions published
2023 inaugural, 2025, and 2026 editions (no 2024 edition due to election transition)

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

1972 February 2026

9 events Latest: February 4th, 2026 · 4 months ago
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  1. Hoover Institution Highlights SETR Washington Event

    Latest Publication

    Hoover Daily Report features the 2026 SETR Washington debut, marking the event's documentation in the institution's official communications.

  2. McCormick Receives AI Policy Award

    Recognition

    Washington AI Network honors Senator Dave McCormick with First Mover Award for early leadership on AI policy and infrastructure.

  3. 2026 SETR Debuts at U.S. Capitol

    Policy Engagement

    Senators Coons and McCormick join Hoover and Stanford scholars at Capitol Hill event marking third edition's release. Briefings follow at White House, State Department, NSC, and OSTP.

  4. Coons-McCormick AI Infrastructure Bill Introduced

    Legislation

    Senators Chris Coons and Dave McCormick introduce the Liquid Cooling for AI Act, signaling bipartisan interest in technology infrastructure policy.

  5. Technology Policy Accelerator Launches

    Institutional

    Hoover formalizes the TPA to coordinate SETR production, congressional briefings, and policy research across multiple technology domains.

  6. 2025 SETR Debuts in Washington

    Policy Engagement

    Second edition launches in the capital with public events and private briefings for policymakers. No 2024 edition was published due to the presidential transition.

  7. Inaugural SETR Launch at Stanford

    Launch

    Hoover Institution and Stanford Engineering unveil first Stanford Emerging Technology Review with Condoleezza Rice, Jennifer Widom, Marc Andreessen, and Richard Saller.

  8. Congress Defunds OTA

    Historical

    Republican-led Congress eliminates OTA funding, ending Congress's dedicated technology assessment capability after 23 years and 750 reports.

  9. Congress Creates Office of Technology Assessment

    Historical

    The Technology Assessment Act establishes OTA to provide Congress with independent analysis of emerging technologies.

Historical Context

2 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

1972-1995

Office of Technology Assessment (1972-1995)

Congress created the Office of Technology Assessment in 1972 to provide independent analysis of emerging technologies. Over 23 years, OTA produced 750 reports on topics from acid rain to biotechnology, informing legislation without recommending specific policies. Studies were initiated only at committee chairs' request.

Then

The Republican-led Congress defunded OTA in 1995 as part of Newt Gingrich's 'Contract with America' budget cuts, eliminating Congress's dedicated technology assessment capability.

Now

Congress has relied on outside sources—think tanks, agencies, industry—for technology guidance since. The GAO established a small Science, Technology Assessment, and Analytics team in 2019 with roughly 100 staff, far smaller than OTA's peak capacity.

Why this matters now

SETR explicitly aims to fill the gap OTA left. The report's structure—comprehensive assessment without policy recommendations—mirrors OTA's approach. Success could revive pressure to restore congressional technology assessment capacity.

1948-present

RAND Corporation and Defense Policy (1948-present)

The RAND Corporation was established in 1948 as a nonprofit think tank to provide research and analysis to the U.S. military. RAND analysts developed foundational concepts in nuclear strategy, game theory, and systems analysis that shaped Cold War policy.

Then

RAND became the model for policy-focused research organizations, demonstrating that academic-style analysis could directly influence government decisions.

Now

The 'RAND model' spawned dozens of federally funded research and development centers (FFRDCs) and established the template for bridging academic research and policy application.

Why this matters now

SETR follows RAND's model of translating academic expertise into policy-relevant intelligence, though operating from a university rather than a dedicated research organization. The Technology Policy Accelerator's structure mirrors RAND's role as connector between researchers and policymakers.

Sources

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