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Japan breaks ground on its largest binary geothermal plant

Japan breaks ground on its largest binary geothermal plant

Built World

Kyuden Mirai's 4,990-kW Kirishima project targets fiscal 2028 startup after 28-year development

3 days ago: Groundbreaking ceremony held for Kirishima plant

Overview

Updated Yesterday

In 1998, Kyushu Electric Power drilled a survey well near Mt. Eboshi and confirmed the site held geothermal resources. The plant built on that discovery finally broke ground on October 9, 28 years later.

The 4,990-kilowatt facility is Japan's largest binary-cycle geothermal plant. Binary systems vaporize a low-boiling-point working fluid with geothermal heat, letting them tap cooler resources than conventional steam plants. The Kirishima plant will reinject all steam and hot water underground and supply roughly 32 million kilowatt-hours a year, enough for about 10,600 households.

Kyuden Mirai Energy, a subsidiary of Kyushu Electric Power, is building the plant as its ninth geothermal facility. Commercial operation is targeted for fiscal 2028. The company began the Environmental Impact Assessment for a second binary plant, the 9.5-MW Yutsubo project in Oita Prefecture, earlier this year.

Why it matters

This plant tests whether binary technology can unlock Japan's underused low-temperature geothermal resources at commercial scale.

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Key Indicators

4,990 kW
Installed capacity
Output of the Kirishima Ebishodake binary-cycle geothermal plant.
~32 million kWh
Annual power output
Planned yearly generation, equivalent to ~10,600 households.
~15,000 t-CO2/year
CO2 reduction
Estimated annual emissions avoided versus Kyushu's grid average.
9
Geothermal plants for Kyuden Group
Kirishima is the ninth; Kyuden Mirai currently operates eight totaling 227 MW.
~22,000 m²
Construction site area
National forest land in Kirishima City's Taguchi area.

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

1998 October 2026

4 events Latest: 3 days ago
Tap a bar to jump to that date
  1. Groundbreaking ceremony held for Kirishima plant

    Latest Construction

    About 40 officials and contractors attend the ceremony marking the start of main construction.

  2. Site preparation work announced

    Construction

    Kyuden Mirai Energy announces start of site preparation at the Kirishima location.

  3. Kirishima City consents to power station

    Regulatory

    City delivers consent under its ordinance on geothermal power businesses, a required approval.

  4. Kyushu Electric confirms Mt. Eboshi geothermal resource

    Exploration

    Drilling of an exploration well near Mt. Eboshi identifies viable geothermal resources.

Scenarios

1

Kirishima plant starts commercial operation in fiscal 2028

Likely Resolves by Q1 2029

Discussed by: Kyuden Mirai Energy's own projections; FNN and KTS reporting

Construction proceeds on schedule and the 4,990-kW plant begins selling power to the grid in fiscal 2028, matching the company's stated target. This outcome would make it the largest binary-cycle geothermal plant in Japan and a reference case for the technology.

2

Construction delays push startup past fiscal 2028

Possible Resolves by Q1 2029

Discussed by: Geothermal industry observers noting frequent schedule slips in Japanese projects

The original plan already slipped once, from fiscal 2026 to fiscal 2028. Geothermal construction in Japan frequently encounters drilling and reservoir surprises, and the national forest site adds logistics complexity. A delay would push commercial operation into fiscal 2029 or later.

3

Project halted or canceled

Unlikely Resolves by End of 2028

Discussed by: No major analysts predict this; a low-probability tail risk

A technical failure in drilling, reservoir underperformance, or an unresolved community dispute halts the project before completion. The city's formal consent and the 28 years of prior work make this outcome unlikely, but geothermal reservoirs can disappoint once production drilling confirms them.

Historical Context

2 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

1966

Matsukawa Geothermal Power Station (1966)

Japan's first commercial geothermal power station began operating at Matsukawa in Iwate Prefecture, built by Japan Metals and Chemical. It proved that Japan's volcanic geology could generate grid-scale electricity from underground heat.

Then

The plant established geothermal as a viable domestic power source in Japan.

Now

Despite an enormous resource base, Japanese geothermal grew slowly; hot spring owners' opposition and complex permitting pushed most development to remote areas. Matsukawa's startup was followed by only a handful of plants over the next 50 years.

Why this matters now

The Kirishima project's 28-year development path reflects the regulatory and social friction that has throttled Japanese geothermal since Matsukawa. The binary plant's approval only came after years of formal consent from a hot-spring town.

July 2012

Japan's 2012 feed-in tariff expansion

After the Fukushima nuclear disaster, Japan introduced a national feed-in tariff for renewable energy that included geothermal. The guaranteed pricing made small and mid-sized geothermal projects financially viable for the first time.

Then

Developers including Kyushu Electric Power began advancing geothermal projects that had been uneconomic under earlier pricing.

Now

The tariff created the economic conditions for binary-cycle plants, which have lower output than conventional steam plants but can use cooler, more accessible resources.

Why this matters now

The feed-in tariff is the policy backdrop that made the Kirishima binary plant economic. Without it, a 4,990-kW facility generating only 32 million kWh a year would struggle to justify a 28-year development effort.

Sources

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