Germany's far-right AfD nears state power for the first time since Nazi era
Rule ChangesSaxony-Anhalt delivers AfD's strongest state result since 1945, testing Germany's postwar firewall against far-right rule
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Overview
Updated YesterdayFor the first time since 1945, a German state is poised to be governed by the far right. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) took 43.8% of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt's September 7 election, nearly an absolute majority. Chancellor Friedrich Merz's Christian Democrats trailed at 17.2%.
The result tests Germany's 'firewall': a postwar convention that mainstream parties never cooperate with the far right. The AfD needs just the left-populist BSW to abstain in the secret ballot for state premier, expected within 30 days. Mainstream parties still refuse to work with the AfD, but they may lack the numbers to stop it.
Why it matters
If Germany's firewall falls, the postwar convention against far-right governance breaks, and European parties face the same pressure in 2027 elections.
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People Involved
Organizations Involved
Anti-immigration, pro-Kremlin party classified as a confirmed right-wing extremist organization in Saxony-Anhalt.
Germany's center-right party, dominant in postwar politics, now facing its worst crisis under Merz.
Left-leaning, immigration-skeptic, pro-Russia party that could decide whether the AfD governs Saxony-Anhalt.
Timeline
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European reaction splits as populists cheer, Warsaw warns of 'traitors'
Today ReactionEurope's populist right celebrates the AfD's win. Poland's prime minister issues sharp condemnation. Alarm spreads across EU capitals.
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AfD wins Saxony-Anhalt state election with 43.8%
ElectionThe far-right party posts its strongest state result since 1945. The CDU takes just 17.2%, nearly 27 points behind.
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Merz tells CDU board the loss 'shook the party to its very foundations'
ReactionThe chancellor acknowledges the scale of the defeat in Saxony-Anhalt and faces internal party pressure.
Historical Context
3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.
France's Le Pen reaches presidential run-off (2002)
Jean-Marie Le Pen shocked France by finishing second in the first presidential round. He faced incumbent Jacques Chirac in the run-off.
French mainstream parties formed a 'republican front,' and Chirac won with 82% in the run-off.
The 2002 front became the template for containing the far right across Europe. Today that front has eroded: Le Pen's daughter Marine is projected to win France's 2027 presidency.
Shows both how the firewall worked at its peak and how far it has decayed, the same decay now visible in Germany.
Italy's Meloni breaks the cordon sanitaire (2022)
Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy, a party with roots in the post-fascist movement, won Italy's September 2022 parliamentary election. She became the first far-right prime minister of a major EU founding state since the war.
Meloni formed a right-wing coalition and faced suspicion in Brussels.
She maintained NATO and EU alignments, normalizing far-right governance in Western Europe.
Showed that a postwar taboo against far-right governing could break in a founding EU state. Germany was long seen as the exception because of its Nazi history.
Netherlands' Wilders wins parliamentary election (2023)
Geert Wilders' anti-Islam Party for Freedom won the most seats in the November 2023 Dutch parliamentary election.
It took months of talks before a right-wing coalition was formed, with Wilders forgoing the prime minister role to reach a compromise.
Wilders' party entered government in 2024, another founding EU state where a hard-right party gained executive power.
Like Italy, the Dutch example showed that countries once seen as immune could see far-right parties take power. Germany's firewall now faces the same pressure.
