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The final push to eradicate polio

The final push to eradicate polio

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Pakistan vaccinates 44.3M children in first 2026 campaign, 98% coverage amid refusals

February 9th, 2026: Campaign Concludes: 44.3M Children Vaccinated

Overview

When the Global Polio Eradication Initiative launched in 1988, wild poliovirus paralyzed 350,000 children annually across 125 countries. Today, the disease survives in only two: Pakistan and Afghanistan. Pakistan's nationwide vaccination campaign from February 2-8, 2026, reached 44.3 million of 45 million targeted children under five across 159 districts—achieving over 98% coverage in the final push to eliminate a disease that would become only the second human pathogen ever eradicated, after smallpox.

The campaign concluded successfully one week ago, with provincial breakdowns: Punjab (22.9M), Sindh (10.5M), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (7.13M), Balochistan (2.36M). Approximately 1 million children were missed due to refusals (53,000 recorded, concentrated in Karachi), amid Pakistan's cases dropping from 74 in 2024 to 30 in 2025 with no new cases since September 2025. Health officials note the low-transmission season offers the best chance to break transmission, despite ongoing challenges from vaccine hesitancy and past militant attacks.

Key Indicators

99.9%
Reduction in polio cases since 1988
From 350,000 annual cases to under 50 worldwide
44.3M
Children vaccinated in Feb 2-8 campaign
98% coverage of 45M targeted across 159 districts; ~1M missed due to refusals
30
Polio cases in Pakistan in 2025
Down from 74 in 2024; no new cases since September 2025
2
Countries where wild polio remains endemic
Only Pakistan and Afghanistan still have ongoing transmission
53K
Refusals recorded
Concentrated in Karachi; ~1M children missed in total

Voices

Curated perspectives — historical figures and your fellow readers.

Niccolo Machiavelli

Niccolo Machiavelli

(1469-1527) · Renaissance · politics

Fictional AI pastiche — not real quote.

"The eradication of disease, like the conquest of territory, demands not merely good intentions but the willingness to enter dangerous ground where others fear to tread. Those 200 martyred health workers understood what princes often forget: that the greatest victories require men who will carry out necessary work in hostile lands, even when the populace mistakes their mercy for conspiracy. One might call it fortune that the virus now retreats—but I observe it is the persistence of the brave, not the prayers of the timid, that drives pestilence from its final strongholds."

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

May 1988 February 2026

19 events Latest: February 9th, 2026 · 3 months ago Showing 8 of 19
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  1. Campaign Concludes: 44.3M Children Vaccinated

    Latest Campaign

    Pakistan's first 2026 polio drive ends with 44.3M children reached (Punjab 22.9M, Sindh 10.5M, KP 7.13M, Balochistan 2.36M); ~1M missed, 53K refusals mainly in Karachi. Synchronized with Afghanistan.

  2. Final Day: Sindh Campaign Wraps Up

    Campaign

    Campaign concludes in most areas February 5, extended to February 8 in Sindh; preliminary data shows strong progress toward 45M target amid cross-border synchronization with Afghanistan.

  3. 38.9M Children Vaccinated in First Three Days

    Campaign

    Pakistan's polio drive reaches 38.9 million children after three days, with provincial breakdowns: Punjab (21M+), Sindh (8.61M+), KP (6.22M+), Balochistan (1.8M+). Campaign continues nationwide through February 8, synchronized with Afghanistan.

  4. Day 2: 64% Coverage Achieved in Capital

    Campaign

    Islamabad reports 64% target reached on day 2 with 293,780 children vaccinated; provincial progress on track amid refusals handled on-site.

  5. Pakistan Launches First 2026 Vaccination Campaign

    Campaign

    Over 400,000 health workers begin door-to-door vaccination across 159 districts, targeting 45 million children in the campaign running through February 8.

  6. Funders Pledge $1.9 Billion in Abu Dhabi

    Funding

    Gates Foundation, Rotary International, and Bloomberg Philanthropies commit major funding at Abu Dhabi summit, though a $440 million gap remains.

  7. Pakistan's Last Reported Case of 2025

    Milestone

    Pakistan's 30th and final polio case of 2025 is recorded. The country goes four months without new cases through year-end.

  8. Bombing Kills Nine Near Vaccination Drive

    Security

    An attack in Mastung, Balochistan kills nine people including five schoolchildren, targeting police guarding a polio vaccination drive.

  9. Taliban Suspends All Vaccination Campaigns

    Setback

    Afghanistan's Taliban government halts polio vaccination nationwide without explanation, days before a planned campaign was to begin.

  10. Africa Certified Wild Polio-Free

    Milestone

    WHO certifies Africa free of wild poliovirus, four years after the last case in Nigeria. Five of six WHO regions are now polio-free.

  11. Taliban Bans House-to-House Vaccination in Afghanistan

    Policy

    Taliban leadership prohibits door-to-door vaccination in areas under their control, leaving over one million children unreachable in southern Afghanistan.

  12. Pakistan Reaches Historic Low

    Milestone

    Only 8 polio cases recorded—the lowest in Pakistan's history. Eradication appears within reach.

  13. India Certified Polio-Free

    Milestone

    World Health Organization certifies India as wild polio-free after three years without a case, proving eradication is achievable even in the most challenging environments.

  14. Pakistan Cases Spike to 306

    Setback

    Pakistan records its highest case count since 2000, driven by militant opposition, vaccine hesitancy, and gaps in coverage in conflict areas.

  15. First Polio Workers Killed in Pakistan

    Security

    Militant attacks on polio vaccination teams begin in earnest. Over the following years, more than 200 workers and security personnel will be killed.

  16. CIA Fake Vaccination Operation Exposed

    Incident

    Revelation that the CIA used a fake hepatitis vaccination program to locate Osama bin Laden fuels vaccine hesitancy and militant opposition to polio campaigns in Pakistan.

  17. India Reports Last Polio Case

    Milestone

    A child in Howrah, West Bengal becomes India's last polio case. The country that once accounted for half the world's cases will be certified polio-free in 2014.

  18. Pakistan Launches Pulse Polio Program

    Campaign

    Pakistan begins systematic vaccination campaigns. The country accounts for about 60% of global polio cases at this time, with an estimated 20,000 annual cases.

  19. World Health Assembly Commits to Polio Eradication

    Policy

    Delegates from 166 member states pass resolution to eliminate polio globally. At the time, 350,000 children are paralyzed annually across 125 countries.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

1967-1980

Smallpox Eradication (1980)

The World Health Organization launched an intensified eradication campaign in 1967, when smallpox killed 2 million people annually. Using a combination of mass vaccination and 'ring vaccination' (targeting contacts of infected individuals), the campaign reached the last natural case in Somalia in October 1977. The WHO declared smallpox eradicated in May 1980.

Then

Vaccination programs ended worldwide, saving an estimated $1 billion annually in vaccine and administration costs.

Now

Remains the only human disease ever eradicated. The success provided the template and confidence for the polio campaign, demonstrating that global coordination could eliminate a pathogen entirely.

Why this matters now

Polio eradication would make it only the second human disease eliminated, using many of the same strategies—mass vaccination, surveillance, and ring containment—developed during the smallpox campaign.

1994-2014

India's Polio-Free Certification (2014)

India once accounted for 60% of global polio cases. In 2009 alone, India reported 741 cases—nearly half the world total. Through campaigns that delivered 1 billion vaccine doses annually to 172 million children, combined with community mobilization to overcome vaccine hesitancy in Muslim communities, India achieved its last case in January 2011 and was certified polio-free in March 2014.

Then

The WHO South-East Asia Region was certified wild polio-free, eliminating a major reservoir.

Now

India's success proved that even the most challenging environments—with dense populations, poor sanitation, and vaccine resistance—could achieve eradication. It demonstrated the biological and technical feasibility of global elimination.

Why this matters now

India's path offers a template for Pakistan: intensive door-to-door campaigns, community engagement to address vaccine hesitancy, and sustained political commitment over decades.

1996-2020

Africa's Wild Polio-Free Certification (2020)

Nigeria was Africa's last endemic country, recording its final wild polio case in August 2016 in Borno State—an area where Boko Haram insurgency had blocked vaccination teams. Four years of sustained surveillance and vaccination, even in conflict zones, confirmed elimination. In August 2020, Africa became the fifth WHO region certified wild polio-free.

Then

Five of six WHO regions achieved wild polio-free status, leaving only the Eastern Mediterranean Region (containing Pakistan and Afghanistan) with endemic transmission.

Now

Demonstrated that eradication is achievable even amid active insurgency, but requires sustained effort for years after the last case to prevent resurgence.

Why this matters now

Africa's experience in Borno State—eliminating polio despite militant activity—offers lessons for Pakistan's conflict-affected areas in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan.

Sources

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