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New York City crime falls to record lows

New York City crime falls to record lows

Force in Play

Murder counts hit the lowest levels in NYPD's recorded history through the first four months of 2026

May 8th, 2026: Four-month and April records announced

Overview

New York City logged 19 murders in April 2026. That is the fewest of any April since the NYPD began publishing modern crime data, beating the prior records of 21 set in 2014 and 2017.

Across the first four months of 2026, the city counted 76 murders. The previous low for that window was 86, set in 2018. Shooting incidents, burglary, and robbery are also tracking at or near record lows.

Why it matters

If the trend holds through summer, when violence historically rises, 2026 becomes the safest year on NYPD record for both murders and shootings.

Play on this story Voices Debate Predict

Key Indicators

76
Murders, Januaryโ€“April 2026
Fewest for that four-month window in NYPD's recorded data. Previous low was 86 in 2018.
19
Murders in April 2026
Lowest April on record. Down 40.6% from 32 in April 2025.
19.3%
Drop in shooting victims
April 2026 vs. April 2025. Shooting incidents fell 18.6% over the same window.
9.5%
Citywide major crime decline
April 2026 vs. April 2025. Burglary fell 21.5%, auto theft 20.2%, robbery 13.8%.
15.5%
Bronx major crime drop
Largest borough decline in April. The Bronx logged four murders, its lowest April on record.

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Timeline

  1. Four-month and April records announced

    Milestone

    Tisch announces 76 murders in the first four months and 19 in April, the fewest on record for both windows.

  2. First quarter sets record low

    Milestone

    NYPD reports 54 murders in January through March, beating the previous low of 60 set in 2018.

  3. Mamdani takes office, retains Tisch

    Leadership

    The democratic socialist mayor keeps the Adams-era commissioner, defying expectations of a break with the NYPD.

  4. Safest year on record for gun violence

    Milestone

    NYC closes 2025 with the fewest shooting incidents and victims in NYPD's recorded data.

  5. Tisch sworn in as commissioner

    Leadership

    Mayor Eric Adams appoints Jessica Tisch to lead the NYPD after a turbulent year of commissioner turnover.

  6. Pandemic-era spike

    Reversal

    NYC records 468 murders, up from 319 in 2019. Shootings nearly double during COVID and protest disruptions.

  7. CompStat era begins

    Policy

    Commissioner William Bratton launches data-driven precinct accountability. Murders begin a sustained, decades-long fall.

  8. NYC murder peak: 2,245 killings

    Historical context

    New York City records the highest murder count in its history at the height of the crack epidemic.

Scenarios

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1

2026 closes as safest year in NYPD recorded history

The first-quarter and April pace projects to roughly 230 murders for the full year, well below the prior record of 292 set in 2017. Summer months drive most year-on-year variance. If shooting volume stays at current levels through Labor Day, the final count beats every previous full-year low.

Discussed by: NY1, CBS New York, NYC mayor's office
Consensus โ€”
2

Summer surge narrows the gap

Murders and shootings in NYC peak in July and August. Heat, school recess, and outdoor gatherings have historically driven a seasonal climb of 30 to 50 percent over spring rates. A typical summer added to current trends would still produce a record-low year, but a hot, disorderly summer could push 2026 close to 2024's count.

Discussed by: Criminologists cited in The Trace and The City
Consensus โ€”
3

Gains plateau as base rate gets low

When murder rates reach roughly two per 100,000 residents, year-over-year declines flatten because the remaining incidents are mostly domestic and personal disputes that are hard to deter through policing tactics. NYC's 2026 rate is approaching that floor. Further declines may require investment outside law enforcement.

Discussed by: John Jay College researchers, The New York Times
Consensus โ€”
4

Department of Community Safety reshapes the debate

Mamdani's promised Department of Community Safety is scheduled to begin operations in late 2026. If it absorbs mental-health and quality-of-life calls from NYPD officers, the political debate shifts from raw murder counts to how the city allocates response work. Statistical gains may continue under a different operating model.

Discussed by: Mayor Mamdani's office, The City
Consensus โ€”

Historical Context

New York's 1990s crime collapse (1990โ€“2000)

1990โ€“2000

What Happened

NYC recorded 2,245 murders in 1990 at the peak of the crack epidemic. Over the next decade, under Commissioners William Bratton and Howard Safir, the department adopted CompStat data tracking, broken-windows enforcement, and aggressive stop-and-frisk. Murders fell to 673 by 2000, a 70 percent drop.

Outcome

Short Term

New York became a national model for data-driven policing. Other cities copied CompStat within a decade.

Long Term

The decline continued under Mayors Bloomberg and de Blasio, even as stop-and-frisk was curtailed by courts and policy. By 2017, murders fell below 300 for the first time since the 1950s.

Why It's Relevant Today

The 2026 numbers extend a multi-decade trend that no single mayor or commissioner can claim. Tisch's precision-policing language is a direct descendant of Bratton's CompStat doctrine.

The pandemic crime spike (2020โ€“2021)

March 2020โ€“December 2021

What Happened

NYC murders rose from 319 in 2019 to 468 in 2020 and 488 in 2021. Shootings nearly doubled. Researchers tied the spike to COVID disruptions, court closures, police pullback after the George Floyd protests, and a surge in illegal gun trafficking.

Outcome

Short Term

Crime became the central issue in the 2021 mayoral race. Eric Adams, a former police captain, won on a public-safety platform.

Long Term

Murders fell each year after 2021, reaching 377 in 2024 and an estimated record low for 2026. The spike turned out to be a sharp interruption, not a new baseline.

Why It's Relevant Today

The 2020 jump shows how quickly NYC crime trends can reverse. It also frames the current decline: the city is now well below pre-pandemic levels, not just recovering to them.

Sources

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