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Trump's War on Offshore Wind

Trump's War on Offshore Wind

How a Scottish golf course grudge became a multi-billion dollar energy battle

Overview

The Interior Department froze five massive offshore wind farms mid-construction on December 22, citing classified Pentagon reports about radar interference. Dominion Energy's stock dropped 4%. Danish developer Ørsted plunged 11%. Nearly 6 gigawatts of renewable capacity—enough to power 3 million homes—sits idle while workers go home for the holidays.

This is Trump's third attempt to kill offshore wind in eleven months. A federal judge already struck down his January executive order blocking all wind permits as unlawful. The administration lost a lawsuit from 17 states in May. Now they're trying a new angle: national security. The problem? The Pentagon approved these exact projects in 2023 and 2024. Former military commanders say the radar concerns are solvable and solved in Europe for years.

Key Indicators

6 GW
Suspended capacity
Enough electricity to power 3 million East Coast homes, now frozen indefinitely
$10.7B
Virginia project at stake
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, 50% complete, largest US offshore wind farm
3
Failed attempts
Executive order struck down, lawsuit lost, now claiming national security
85%
Revolution Wind progress
Project was 85% complete before suspension—second shutdown in 4 months
90 days
Initial suspension
Can be extended indefinitely by Interior Secretary Doug Burgum

People Involved

Donald Trump
Donald Trump
President of the United States (Leading multi-front campaign against offshore wind development)
Doug Burgum
Doug Burgum
Secretary of the Interior (Executing offshore wind suspensions while divesting oil and gas holdings)
Maura Healey
Maura Healey
Governor of Massachusetts (Leading multi-state resistance to offshore wind suspensions)

Organizations Involved

Dominion Energy
Dominion Energy
Utility Company
Status: Developing largest US offshore wind project, now suspended at 50% completion

Virginia utility with $10.7 billion bet on offshore wind now frozen mid-construction.

Ørsted A/S
Ørsted A/S
Energy Company
Status: Danish renewable giant with two US projects suspended, stock down 11%

Europe's offshore wind leader now caught in Trump's crosshairs, twice.

Bureau of Ocean Energy Management
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management
Federal Agency
Status: Reversed course from rapid Biden-era approvals to Trump-era suspensions

Federal offshore regulator executing political whiplash in real time.

Timeline

  1. Four Governors Demand Reversal

    Political

    Healey (MA), Hochul (NY), McKee (RI), Lamont (CT) write Burgum: suspensions 'defy logic,' threaten thousands of jobs.

  2. Market Reaction: Billions Evaporate

    Market

    Dominion drops 4%, Ørsted plunges 11%, nearly 6 GW of capacity frozen.

  3. All Five In-Construction Projects Suspended

    Suspension

    Interior Department freezes Vineyard Wind, Revolution Wind, Sunrise Wind, Empire Wind, CVOW citing classified Pentagon radar reports.

  4. Federal Judge Strikes Down Wind Moratorium

    Legal

    Judge Patti Saris rules Trump's executive order 'arbitrary and capricious,' violations of Administrative Procedure Act.

  5. Federal Judge Allows Revolution Wind Restart

    Legal

    Court injunction lifts suspension, construction resumes after one-month stoppage.

  6. Revolution Wind Ordered Stopped at 80% Complete

    Suspension

    BOEM issues first project-specific stop-work order, halting nearly finished Rhode Island/Connecticut wind farm.

  7. 17 States Sue Trump Over Wind Ban

    Legal

    Coalition led by Massachusetts, New York attorneys general challenges executive order as arbitrary and unlawful.

  8. Burgum Sworn In as Interior Secretary

    Appointment

    Former North Dakota governor confirmed 79-18, pledges to divest oil/gas holdings, becomes Trump's 'energy czar'.

  9. Trump Signs Wind Energy Moratorium

    Executive Action

    Day 1 executive order halts all onshore and offshore wind permits pending federal review.

  10. Dominion Completes First Installation Season

    Development

    78 monopile foundations and 4 offshore substations installed, CVOW reaches 50% completion on schedule.

  11. Vineyard Wind Blade Catastrophe

    Incident

    107-meter turbine blade breaks 20 meters from root, scatters fiberglass debris across Nantucket beaches, closes south shore.

  12. BOEM Approves Coastal Virginia Construction

    Approval

    Federal approval for $10.7 billion Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, largest US offshore wind project.

  13. Biden Offshore Wind Acceleration

    Policy

    Biden administration approves 10 commercial projects totaling 15+ GW, holds six lease auctions providing 1.3 million acres.

  14. Dominion Wins Virginia Offshore Lease

    Development

    First commercial offshore wind lease on East Coast goes to Dominion Energy for area offshore Virginia Beach.

Scenarios

1

Legal Victory Restores Projects Within Months

Discussed by: Environmental Defense Fund, state attorneys general offices, Administrative Procedure Act scholars

States file emergency lawsuit arguing the suspension violates the same laws Trump already lost on in December. A federal judge issues an injunction within 30-60 days, finding Burgum failed to provide reasoned explanation for overturning years of Pentagon reviews that cleared these exact projects. BOEM is ordered to lift suspensions. Projects resume construction by spring 2026, completing with 6-12 month delays and cost overruns in the hundreds of millions.

2

Suspension Extended, Projects Canceled, Billions Lost

Discussed by: Manhattan Institute, offshore wind opponents, fossil fuel industry analysts

Burgum extends the 90-day suspension indefinitely using national security classification to shield from judicial review. Developers face mounting carrying costs on billions in debt. Ørsted and partners walk away from Revolution and Sunrise Wind. Dominion renegotiates CVOW's $10.7 billion budget with Virginia regulators, potentially canceling. Supply chain collapses as specialized vessels and workers move to European projects. US offshore wind industry set back a decade.

3

Pentagon Contradicts Interior, Creates Cabinet Split

Discussed by: Former USS Cole Commander Kirk Lippold, defense policy experts, Congressional Armed Services Committee members

Pentagon officials publicly contradict Burgum's classified claims, pointing to their own 2023-2024 approvals and decades of European military compatibility with offshore wind. Defense Secretary testifies the projects pose no genuine threat. Congressional Republicans split between energy hawks wanting offshore wind for grid reliability and Trump loyalists. Burgum forced to narrow suspension to specific turbine configurations or radar mitigation requirements, allowing most projects to proceed with modifications.

4

Political Backlash in Swing States Forces Retreat

Discussed by: Regional news coverage from Virginia, analysis from swing-state political consultants

Virginia emerges as flashpoint. Republican Governor Youngkin faces pressure as 50%-complete CVOW threatens thousands of union jobs and billions in economic development in Hampton Roads. New York's Long Island representatives from both parties revolt over Sunrise Wind job losses. Trump administration quietly allows projects to restart with face-saving "enhanced monitoring" requirements after 90 days, claiming victory while backing down.

Historical Context

Cape Wind (Massachusetts, 2001-2017)

2001-2017

What Happened

America's first proposed offshore wind farm became a 16-year legal and political battle. The 130-turbine project in Nantucket Sound faced fierce opposition from Cape Cod residents, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who fought it from his family's estate. Despite federal approval in 2010, opposition from wealthy coastal communities, utilities backing out, and regulatory delays killed the project. It was officially scrapped in 2017.

Outcome

Short term: Project canceled after $100+ million spent on development, no turbines built.

Long term: Set US offshore wind back a decade while Europe built 25+ GW of capacity.

Why It's Relevant

Shows how political and elite opposition can kill offshore wind despite federal approvals—exactly what Trump is attempting now with national security instead of aesthetics.

European Offshore Wind and Military Radar (2000s-2020s)

2000-2025

What Happened

As Europe built 30+ GW of offshore wind capacity, military radar interference emerged as a solvable engineering problem rather than a dealbreaker. The UK, Germany, Denmark, and Netherlands developed radar mitigation protocols including advanced radar systems, turbine placement coordination, and stealth blade materials. Belgium's Navy recommended shared radar systems and data protocols between military and wind operators. Technical solutions freed 3+ GW of UK offshore capacity once considered blocked.

Outcome

Short term: Initial projects delayed 1-3 years for radar coordination and mitigation.

Long term: Radar interference became routine permitting consideration, not grounds for rejection.

Why It's Relevant

Pentagon approved these US projects after reviewing European solutions. Burgum's claims ignore decades of proven military-wind coexistence that US defense officials already studied and accepted.

Obama Coal Plant Regulations vs. Trump EPA Reversal (2015-2019)

2015-2019

What Happened

Obama's EPA issued the Clean Power Plan in 2015 to reduce coal plant emissions, spurring utilities to invest billions in natural gas and renewables. Trump's EPA repealed it in 2019 with the Affordable Clean Energy rule. But the economic shift had already happened—utilities didn't rebuild coal plants. Courts struck down Trump's replacement as inadequate. The attempted reversal failed because market forces and billion-dollar investments had moved past the regulatory fight.

Outcome

Short term: Legal chaos, regulatory uncertainty, some projects delayed.

Long term: Coal plant retirements continued at same pace regardless of regulations; market economics overrode policy.

Why It's Relevant

Trump is again trying to reverse billions in private clean energy investment after construction has started. But you can't un-install 78 monopile foundations. The question is whether developers abandon sunk costs or fight in court.