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Atlantic hurricane season breaks 112-year record without a hurricane

Atlantic hurricane season breaks 112-year record without a hurricane

Force in Play

A powerful El Niño has suppressed Atlantic storm formation all season

Today: Record extends to 113 days; six named storms so far

Overview

Updated 2 hours ago

The Atlantic Ocean has gone 112 days into hurricane season without a single hurricane. The last time the basin waited this long was 1914, at the onset of World War I.

A powerful El Niño in the Pacific is the cause. It increases wind shear over the Atlantic, shredding developing storms before they can organize. Six named storms have formed this season, but none reached hurricane strength.

Why it matters

A hurricane-free Atlantic season would be only the third in 175 years of records, showing how El Niño can override warm ocean waters.

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Key Indicators

0
Hurricanes in Atlantic through Sept 21
First time since 1914 the basin has gone this long without a hurricane.
6
Named storms formed
Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, and Fay — none reached hurricane strength.
112
Days into season without a hurricane
Previous record was 1914, the last season to reach this point hurricane-free.
93%
Below average accumulated cyclone energy
NOAA's measure of storm activity through September 21, compared to the 1991-2020 average.

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Timeline

June 2026 September 2026

5 events Latest: Today
Tap a bar to jump to that date
  1. Record extends to 113 days; six named storms so far

    Today Milestone

    The season extends its hurricane-free streak. Six named storms have formed, none reaching hurricane strength.

  2. Atlantic breaks 112-year record without a hurricane

    Record

    The basin reaches September 21 without a hurricane, the first time since 1914.

  3. Tropical Storm Fay forms, falls short of hurricane strength

    Storm

    Fay reaches 70 mph winds, just below the 74 mph hurricane threshold, then weakens.

  4. Atlantic passes latest hurricane-free date since 1966

    Record

    The basin reaches September 12 without a hurricane, the latest date since satellite tracking began in 1966.

  5. Atlantic hurricane season officially begins

    Season Start

    The six-month Atlantic hurricane season opens, running through November 30.

Scenarios

1

Atlantic finishes season with zero hurricanes

Possible Resolves by Nov 30, 2026

Discussed by: Phil Klotzbach, Michael Lowry

If El Niño's wind shear holds through November, the Atlantic would complete its first hurricane-free season since 1914. Only 1907 and 1914 have finished a full season without a hurricane in 175 years of records. Klotzbach says the odds of substantial activity from the deep tropics are low, but he'd be surprised if the season ends with zero hurricanes.

2

Late-season hurricane forms in Gulf of Mexico or off East Coast

Likely Resolves by Nov 30, 2026

Discussed by: Phil Klotzbach, Heather Long (meteorologist quoted by CBC)

Wind shear is weaker in the Gulf of Mexico and near the U.S. East Coast than in the open Atlantic. Waters remain warm in those regions. Klotzbach says he'd be surprised if the season ends with zero hurricanes, and the Gulf is the most likely spot for a late-season storm. Long notes the Caribbean still has lots of wind shear, but the Gulf shows less.

3

Hurricane forms in deep tropical Atlantic

Unlikely Resolves by Nov 30, 2026

Discussed by: Phil Klotzbach

This would require a break in the wind shear pattern over the Main Development Region between West Africa and the Caribbean. Klotzbach says the odds of getting anything substantial out of the deep tropics are low. The region has been suppressed all season by El Niño-driven wind shear.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

June-November 1907

1907 Atlantic hurricane season

The other hurricane-free season in the historical record. Like 1914, it predates satellite tracking, so some storms may have gone undetected.

Then

The season finished with zero recorded hurricanes.

Now

Together with 1914, 1907 is one of only two seasons to complete a full year without a hurricane in 175 years of records.

Why this matters now

If 2026 finishes without a hurricane, it would become only the third such season in recorded history.

June-November 1914

1914 Atlantic hurricane season

The Atlantic recorded zero hurricanes, the last time the basin went this long without one. The season unfolded amid the onset of World War I, with limited ship and coastal observations.

Then

The season finished with no recorded hurricanes, one of only two such years in records going back to 1851.

Now

1914 became the benchmark for quiet Atlantic seasons, standing for 112 years until 2026.

Why this matters now

This is the exact record 2026 is breaking. Pre-satellite observations in 1914 may have missed storms that stayed far from land.

1966-2025

1966-2025: 60-year hurricane streak

Every Atlantic hurricane season since 1966 has produced at least one hurricane. This streak has held through quiet years and active years alike.

Then

The streak has been a consistent feature of the modern satellite era.

Now

2026 threatens to end this 60-year run, which would mark a significant shift in the modern record.

Why this matters now

The 2026 season has already passed the latest date without a hurricane since 1966, putting the entire streak at risk.

Sources

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