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US warns NATO allies to fund their own defense

US warns NATO allies to fund their own defense

Rule Changes

Pentagon launches six-month review of US forces in Europe as asset cuts begin and 'NATO 3.0' takes shape

June 12th, 2026: US plans to cut a third of NATO fighter jets and relocate warships

Overview

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth flew to Brussels on June 18 and told NATO defense ministers the Pentagon will spend six months reviewing all American forces in Europe. Future US presence will depend on how fast European allies take primary responsibility for their own defense. He threatened to make US dues contributions to NATO 'contingent' on allies meeting spending targets and called it 'shameful' that some allies blocked American base access during the Iran war.

Washington is already pulling back. In early June, the US told allies it planned to cut roughly a third of its NATO fighter jets, withdraw all eight aerial refueling aircraft, and relocate an aircraft carrier. By the end of 2025, all 32 allies met the 2% spending floor for the first time since the target was set in 2014 — but Washington has since raised the bar to 5% by 2035.

Why it matters

If the US shrinks its European military presence, NATO members must rebuild capabilities they outsourced to Washington for seven decades.

Questions about this story

0

What percentage of the money has the US paid historically? Can you give me the averages grouped by the current President over the past 40 years?

The US has paid roughly 65–70% of NATO's combined defense bill for most of the past 25 years, but the share was lower during the Cold War when European allies spent more, and is now falling toward ~62% as European budgets surge.

Why it matters: The declining US share — driven by European rearmament, not US cuts — undercuts the 'freeloading' framing, even as Hegseth uses it to press for more.

  • Reagan era (1985–1989): US share of NATO total was roughly 50–55%; European allies were still spending heavily on Cold War–era forces, and the US itself was near 6% of GDP on defense.
  • G.H.W. Bush & Clinton (1989–2001): The 'peace dividend' hit Europe harder than the US — European budgets fell faster, pushing the US share upward toward 60–65% through the 1990s.
  • G.W. Bush (2001–2009): Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq drove US defense spending to its post-Cold War peak; the US share of NATO totals climbed to roughly 70–73%, the highest since the Cold War.
  • Obama (2009–2017): US spending fell as wars wound down, but European allies cut even more aggressively; the US share held near 65–70% through this period.
  • Trump I (2017–2021): US share stayed near 70%; Trump's pressure nudged some European allies to start spending more, but the aggregate barely moved.
  • Biden (2021–2025): Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine triggered a sustained European buildup; by 2023 the US share was 68.7%, still dominant but trending down.
  • Trump II (2025–present): European spending jumped ~20% in 2025 alone; the US share has fallen to roughly 62% of NATO's combined $1.59 trillion total — the lowest in decades.
  • CSIS cautions the 70% figure is misleading: the vast majority of US defense spending covers global commitments (Pacific deterrence, power projection) not specific to European defense.
Room for disagreement
  • The '70% share' metric is contested. CSIS argues it counts US spending on Pacific fleets, nuclear deterrence, and global force projection as 'NATO burden' — so it vastly overstates what the US actually spends defending Europe specifically versus pursuing its own global interests.
  • Some analysts (Heritage Foundation, Hegseth camp) accept the raw spending-share figure at face value as proof of European freeloading; others (RAND, CSIS) say capability contributions — troops, bases, intelligence — require a broader accounting that makes the gap look smaller.
AI-generated with web search — may be wrong. Check the linked sources.

Key Indicators

5%
New NATO spending target
Agreed at the June 2025 Hague summit, to be reached by 2035. Spain holds an exemption.
2%
Old NATO floor
Set at the 2014 Wales summit. All 32 allies met it in 2025 — the first time since it was established.
~80,000
US troops in Europe
Permanent personnel now under a six-month Pentagon review. Specific cuts to jets, warships, and refueling aircraft already announced.
32
NATO members
Includes Finland and Sweden, who joined after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

September 2014 June 2026

7 events Latest: June 12th, 2026 · 1 month ago
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  1. US plans to cut a third of NATO fighter jets and relocate warships

    Latest Policy

    The New York Times reported the US plans to cut F-16 and F-15E jets allocated to NATO from about 150 to 100, withdraw all eight aerial refueling aircraft entirely, and relocate an aircraft carrier and submarines. Maritime surveillance aircraft would fall from 26 to 15.

  2. Hegseth calls 2% target 'freeloading' at Shangri-La

    Statement

    The Defense Secretary tells NATO allies the US will no longer subsidize wealthy nations' defense. He hints at major decisions on European security.

  3. NATO agrees 5% spending target at Hague summit

    Policy

    Members commit to 5% of GDP by 2035: 3.5% on traditional military spending and 1.5% on broader security.

  4. Hegseth tells Europe to take primary defense responsibility

    Statement

    In his first NATO speech at Brussels, Hegseth signals Washington will no longer treat European security as its main concern.

  5. Russia invades Ukraine

    Conflict

    European NATO members accelerate defense spending. Finland and Sweden join the alliance. The 2% target becomes a floor, not a ceiling.

  6. Trump threatens NATO withdrawal at Brussels summit

    Statement

    In his first term, Trump reportedly tells allies he could pull the US from NATO if spending doesn't rise. European spending starts climbing.

  7. NATO sets 2% spending target at Wales summit

    Policy

    Members pledge to move toward spending 2% of GDP on defense within a decade. The target has no enforcement mechanism.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

July 1969

Nixon Doctrine (1969)

On Guam in July 1969, President Richard Nixon told reporters the US would no longer commit ground troops to defend Asian allies. Allies had to defend themselves, with US material and air support as backup. The doctrine emerged from Vietnam War strain on the US military and budget.

Then

South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan accelerated their own military buildups. US troop levels across Asia dropped sharply through the early 1970s.

Now

Asian allies developed stronger indigenous defense industries. South Korea grew its army past 600,000 troops. The doctrine showed allies could fund their own forces when forced to.

Why this matters now

Hegseth's Singapore speech echoes Nixon's logic for Europe: wealthy allies must defend themselves. The Asian reaction in 1969-1970 offers a template for how Europe might respond.

March 1966

France withdraws from NATO integrated command (1966)

Charles de Gaulle pulled France from NATO's integrated military command and demanded all US bases leave French soil within a year. He kept France in the alliance politically but ended military integration. About 27,000 American troops and 60,000 dependents had to relocate.

Then

NATO headquarters moved from Paris to Brussels. The US withdrew its bases and nuclear weapons from France. French defense policy went fully independent.

Now

France built its own nuclear deterrent. The alliance survived but became more Anglo-Saxon-led. France only fully rejoined NATO command in 2009.

Why this matters now

Shows that fundamental NATO restructuring is possible without collapsing the alliance. A US drawdown could resemble France's 1966 step in reverse.

May 2017 - July 2018

Trump's first-term NATO confrontation (2017-2018)

At his first NATO summit in May 2017, Trump berated allies over spending and refused to commit publicly to Article 5. At Brussels in July 2018, he threatened to leave NATO unless allies raised spending immediately. He reportedly told staff he wanted to withdraw.

Then

European spending rose. By 2019, eight more members hit the 2% target. NATO members publicly affirmed Article 5 commitments to reassure each other.

Now

The 2% target became a serious obligation rather than aspiration. European leaders began contingency planning for US withdrawal. Macron called NATO 'brain dead' in 2019.

Why this matters now

Hegseth's threats follow the Trump 1.0 playbook. The first iteration produced higher spending but not US withdrawal. Whether Trump 2.0 follows through is the open question.

Sources

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