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The great farm exodus

The great farm exodus

New Capabilities
By Newzino Staff |

How Tractors Emptied the Countryside and Built Modern America

January 1st, 2024: Average Farm Size Reaches 466 Acres

Overview

In 1900, 41 percent of Americans worked on farms. Today, fewer than 2 percent do—yet agricultural output has more than tripled. The tractor, combine harvester, and chemical fertilizer didn't just change farming; they triggered the largest peacetime migration in American history, sending tens of millions from fields to factories and reshaping the nation's economy, culture, and landscape.

This transformation took roughly a century but accelerated sharply after 1945. What once required 35-40 hours of human labor to produce 100 bushels of corn now takes under 3 hours. The displaced farm workers became the industrial and service workforce that built postwar America. Meanwhile, marginal farmland has returned to forest across much of the East—a rare case of development reversing environmental degradation.

Key Indicators

41%→2%
Farm workforce share
Percentage of U.S. labor force in agriculture, 1900 vs. today
24M
Draft animals replaced
Horses and mules displaced by tractors between 1910-1960
93%
Labor hours reduced
Decline in human labor to produce 100 bushels of corn (1900 vs. 2000)
3x
Output increase
Growth in total U.S. agricultural output since 1948 despite fewer workers

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People Involved

Henry Ford
Henry Ford
Founder, Ford Motor Company; Fordson Tractor Pioneer (Deceased (1947))
Norman Borlaug
Norman Borlaug
Agricultural Scientist; Father of the Green Revolution (Deceased (2009))

Organizations Involved

International Harvester
International Harvester
Agricultural Equipment Manufacturer
Status: Merged into CNH Industrial (1984)

Dominant American farm equipment manufacturer that held 44% of the tractor market by the 1930s through innovations like the Farmall row-crop tractor.

U.
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Federal Agency
Status: Active

Federal agency that tracked, measured, and shaped the transformation of American agriculture through research, extension services, and policy.

Timeline

  1. Average Farm Size Reaches 466 Acres

    Milestone

    The 2024 agricultural survey counts 876 million acres in farms averaging 466 acres—more than triple the 1900 average of 147 acres.

  2. Farm Workforce Reaches 2%

    Demographic

    Only 1.9% of Americans work in agriculture. Self-employed and family farmworkers have fallen 73% since 1950, to 2.06 million.

  3. Farm Workforce Falls to 4%

    Demographic

    Agricultural employment drops to 3.5 million workers, down from 11 million in 1920. Average farm size approaches 400 acres.

  4. U.S. Forest Land Reaches Post-Settlement Peak

    Environment

    Abandoned farmland returning to forest pushes U.S. forest acreage to 753 million acres—the highest since colonial-era clearing began.

  5. Draft Animals Essentially Eliminated

    Technology

    Tractors have replaced 24 million horses and mules since 1910. Mechanical power now dominates American agriculture completely.

  6. Peak Tractor Production

    Industry

    U.S. tractor production hits its all-time high of 564,000 units. The market approaches saturation as horse-powered farming becomes rare.

  7. Farm Population Falls Below 25%

    Demographic

    Less than a quarter of Americans now live on farms. Average farm size reaches 205 acres as consolidation accelerates. Land in farms peaks at 1.2 billion acres.

  8. Postwar Mechanization Surge

    Milestone

    Tractors reach 2.4 million while work animals fall to 11.6 million. Returning veterans accelerate the shift to cities, and suburban development begins.

  9. Peak Number of U.S. Farms

    Milestone

    The number of American farms peaks at nearly 7 million. Consolidation and mechanization will reduce this to 2 million by 2000.

  10. 920,000 Tractors on American Farms

    Milestone

    Tractor numbers approach one million while work animals (horses and mules) begin their decline from 18.7 million. The transition accelerates through the Depression.

  11. Farmall Tractor Revolutionizes Row Crops

    Technology

    International Harvester introduces the Farmall, the first successful row-crop tractor. It can cultivate cotton, corn, and other crops that earlier tractors could not handle.

  12. Tractor Price War Accelerates Adoption

    Industry

    Ford slashes Fordson prices to $395. Competitors match or exit the market. By 1923, Fordsons account for 75% of U.S. tractor sales.

  13. Fordson Dominates Tractor Market

    Industry

    Ford sells 67,000 Fordson tractors in a single year, dwarfing competitors. The company initiates aggressive price cuts that reshape the industry.

  14. Fordson Tractor Enters Mass Production

    Technology

    Henry Ford introduces the Fordson Model F, the first lightweight, affordable tractor. Priced at $750, it brings mechanization within reach of average farmers.

  15. Agricultural Employment Peaks

    Milestone

    Farm employment reaches approximately 12 million workers—the highest absolute number in American history. The decline begins immediately afterward.

  16. International Harvester Formed

    Industry

    Five agricultural equipment companies, including rivals McCormick and Deering, merge to create International Harvester, which will dominate the tractor market for decades.

  17. 41% of Americans Work in Agriculture

    Milestone

    The 1900 Census records 5.7 million farms averaging 146 acres, with agriculture employing the largest share of the American workforce. Farm work remains labor-intensive, relying primarily on horses and human muscle.

Scenarios

1

Precision Agriculture Drives Further Consolidation

Discussed by: USDA Economic Research Service, agricultural economists

GPS-guided equipment, AI-driven crop management, and robotics continue reducing labor requirements while increasing optimal farm size. The number of farms continues declining toward 1.5 million, with most production concentrated on operations exceeding 1,000 acres. Rural communities face further population decline.

2

Labor Shortages Accelerate Automation

Discussed by: Farm Bureau, agricultural technology analysts

Difficulty finding farm workers, particularly for harvest work, drives rapid adoption of robotic harvesters and autonomous equipment. Labor-intensive crops like fruits and vegetables—long resistant to mechanization—finally become automated. The 2% farm workforce share drops below 1%.

3

Climate Disruption Reverses Productivity Gains

Discussed by: Climate researchers, agricultural scientists

Extreme weather, shifting growing zones, and water scarcity reduce yields despite technological advances. More marginal land is abandoned, accelerating reforestation in some regions while water-stressed areas see agricultural collapse. Food prices rise significantly.

4

Small Farm Renaissance Through Direct Markets

Discussed by: Local food advocates, agricultural extension services

Consumer demand for local, organic, and specialty products supports a modest increase in small-scale farming. These operations remain economically marginal compared to industrial agriculture but provide niche livelihoods. The overall percentage of agricultural workers stabilizes rather than declining further.

Historical Context

British Agricultural Revolution and Enclosure (1750-1850)

1750-1850

What Happened

Parliament passed over 5,200 enclosure acts, converting 6.8 million acres of common land to private ownership. New farming techniques—crop rotation, selective breeding, improved plows—dramatically increased yields. Displaced peasants who had relied on common grazing and foraging rights were forced to seek wage labor.

Outcome

Short Term

Agricultural productivity increased sharply. Landless laborers flooded into growing industrial cities like Manchester and Birmingham.

Long Term

Britain became the first urbanized nation, with over half its population in cities by 1850. The displaced rural workforce powered the Industrial Revolution.

Why It's Relevant Today

The British experience previewed America's 20th-century transformation: mechanization and consolidation displacing farm workers who become industrial labor. The difference was speed—Britain's transition took a century; America's took decades.

Soviet Collectivization (1929-1933)

1929-1933

What Happened

Stalin forced 25 million peasant households onto collective farms in four years. Kulaks (prosperous peasants) were "liquidated as a class" through deportations and executions. Peasants slaughtered livestock rather than surrender it—the USSR lost one-third of its pigs and one-quarter of its cattle in 1930 alone.

Outcome

Short Term

Agricultural output collapsed. Famine killed 5-12 million people, concentrated in Ukraine (the Holodomor).

Long Term

Soviet livestock numbers did not recover until the 1980s. Collective farming never matched private agriculture's productivity. The USSR became a net grain importer.

Why It's Relevant Today

Collectivization shows that agricultural transformation can be catastrophically destructive when driven by ideology rather than technology and market forces. American mechanization was voluntary, gradual, and productivity-enhancing; Soviet collectivization was coerced, rapid, and productivity-destroying.

The Green Revolution (1960-1980)

1960-1980

What Happened

Norman Borlaug's dwarf wheat varieties, combined with synthetic fertilizers and irrigation, spread from Mexico to Asia. India imported 18,000 tons of Mexican wheat seed in 1966. Indian wheat production jumped from 12 million tons in 1965 to 20 million tons in 1970.

Outcome

Short Term

India achieved food self-sufficiency by 1971. Pakistan and other nations followed. Predictions of mass famine proved wrong.

Long Term

Global grain output nearly tripled between 1950 and 1992 on roughly the same acreage. Borlaug is credited with saving over a billion lives. Critics note environmental costs: soil degradation, water depletion, pesticide dependence.

Why It's Relevant Today

The Green Revolution extended mechanization's logic globally: fewer workers producing vastly more food. Combined with earlier American advances, it demonstrates that agricultural employment will continue declining worldwide as productivity technology spreads.

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