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Musk merges SpaceX and xAI in record-breaking deal

Musk merges SpaceX and xAI in record-breaking deal

Money Moves
By Newzino Staff | |

The largest merger in history creates a $1.25 trillion company ahead of a planned mega-IPO

February 5th, 2026: FCC Accepts Million-Satellite Filing, Sets Public Comment Period

Overview

Elon Musk's SpaceX has acquired his artificial intelligence startup xAI in a $250 billion deal—the largest acquisition in corporate history, surpassing Vodafone's $203 billion purchase of Mannesmann in 2000. The combined entity is valued at $1.25 trillion, with SpaceX contributing $1 trillion and xAI $250 billion. The merger consolidates three of Musk's companies under one roof: SpaceX's rocket and satellite businesses, xAI's Grok chatbot and AI infrastructure, and X (formerly Twitter), which xAI absorbed in March 2025. Within days of the merger announcement, Musk began publicly articulating the orbital data center vision, appearing on the 'Cheeky Pint' podcast in early February 2026 to argue that solar panels produce five times more power in space than on Earth, making orbital AI infrastructure economically superior to terrestrial data centers by 2028.

The deal sets up what could become the largest initial public offering ever. SpaceX is targeting a June 2026 IPO that could raise $50 billion—nearly double Saudi Aramco's record $29 billion listing in 2019. Regulatory momentum is building: the FCC accepted SpaceX's January 2026 filing for up to one million orbital data center satellites on February 5, 2026, and FCC Chairman Brendan Carr publicly shared the filing on X, signaling administrative support. Musk has marked 2028 as a tipping point year when orbital AI will become 'the most economically compelling place to put AI,' with predictions that within five years SpaceX will launch more AI computing capacity annually than exists cumulatively on Earth. The merger also provides xAI with desperately needed capital: the AI startup is burning approximately $1 billion per month as it races to compete with OpenAI and Anthropic.

Key Indicators

$1.25T
Combined Valuation
SpaceX ($1 trillion) plus xAI ($250 billion) creates the most valuable private company in history
$250B
Acquisition Price
The largest single acquisition ever, exceeding Vodafone-Mannesmann's $203 billion deal in 2000
$50B
Target IPO Raise
If successful, would nearly double Saudi Aramco's record $29 billion IPO
1M
Satellites Proposed
SpaceX filed with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to launch up to one million orbital data center satellites
$1B/month
xAI Cash Burn
xAI's infrastructure spending as it competes with OpenAI and Anthropic

Interactive

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Mark Twain

Mark Twain

(1835-1910) · Gilded Age · wit

Fictional AI pastiche — not real quote.

"I observe Mr. Musk has discovered the most elegant solution to raising capital: selling one pocket to the other, then inviting the public to buy shares in the trousers. It is a comfort to know that in our modern age of electric wonder, a man may still achieve immortality through the ancient and respectable art of spectacular bookkeeping."

Andrew Mellon

Andrew Mellon

(1855-1937) · Progressive Era · finance

Fictional AI pastiche — not real quote.

"Consolidation of capital under singular vision has its merits, though I observe Mr. Musk acquires his own enterprise at a valuation that would make even the most creative financier of my era blush. One wonders whether orbital data centers represent productive investment or merely the costliest method yet devised to cool machinery—the vacuum of space being rather expensive real estate compared to a Pennsylvania riverside."

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People Involved

Elon Musk
Elon Musk
Chief Executive Officer of SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla; Owner of X (Orchestrating largest merger in history ahead of mega-IPO)
Gwynne Shotwell
Gwynne Shotwell
President and Chief Operating Officer of SpaceX (Overseeing day-to-day operations during merger integration)

Organizations Involved

SpaceX
SpaceX
Private Aerospace Company
Status: Acquirer in record merger, preparing for IPO

Private aerospace manufacturer and space transportation company that operates the Falcon rocket family, Dragon spacecraft, and Starlink satellite internet constellation.

XA
xAI
Artificial Intelligence Company
Status: Acquired by SpaceX, now subsidiary

AI startup founded by Elon Musk that develops the Grok chatbot and operates the Colossus supercomputer, one of the world's largest AI training facilities.

Federal Communications Commission (FCC)
Federal Communications Commission (FCC)
U.S. Federal Regulatory Agency
Status: Reviewing SpaceX's million-satellite orbital data center application

Independent U.S. agency regulating interstate and international communications by radio, television, wire, satellite, and cable.

Timeline

  1. FCC Accepts Million-Satellite Filing, Sets Public Comment Period

    Regulatory

    FCC formally accepts SpaceX's application for up to one million orbital data center satellites and opens public comment period. FCC Chairman Brendan Carr publicly shares filing on X, signaling regulatory support.

  2. Deal Structure Revealed

    Corporate

    Documents show merger structured as share exchange: one xAI share at $75.46 converts to 0.1433 SpaceX shares at $526.59.

  3. Musk Details Orbital Data Center Economics on Podcast

    Corporate

    Elon Musk appears on Stripe co-founder Patrick Collison's 'Cheeky Pint' podcast with Dwarkesh Patel, arguing solar panels produce 5x more power in space than Earth, marking 2028 as tipping point year for orbital AI economics. Predicts within 5 years SpaceX will launch more AI annually than exists cumulatively on Earth.

  4. SpaceX Acquires xAI in Largest Merger Ever

    Acquisition

    SpaceX announces acquisition of xAI for $250 billion, creating combined company valued at $1.25 trillion—the largest merger in corporate history.

  5. SpaceX Files for Million-Satellite Constellation

    Regulatory

    SpaceX submits FCC application for up to one million orbital data center satellites at altitudes between 500 and 2,000 kilometers.

  6. Merger Talks Reported

    Corporate

    Reuters reports SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI are in talks to merge ahead of potential IPO.

  7. SpaceX Valued at $800 Billion

    Valuation

    SpaceX conducts secondary share sale at $800 billion valuation, more than doubling its value from $350 billion a year earlier.

  8. xAI Completes $20 Billion Series E

    Funding

    xAI raises $20 billion at approximately $230 billion valuation, with Nvidia and Cisco among strategic investors.

  9. xAI Acquires X (Twitter)

    Acquisition

    xAI acquires X in an all-stock deal valuing the social media platform at $33 billion (enterprise value $45 billion minus $12 billion debt).

  10. xAI Series C Raises $6 Billion

    Funding

    xAI raises another $6 billion at $50 billion valuation from Fidelity, BlackRock, and Sequoia Capital.

  11. Colossus Supercomputer Begins Operation

    Infrastructure

    xAI's Colossus data center in Memphis begins operation with 100,000 Nvidia GPUs, built in just 122 days.

  12. xAI Raises $6 Billion Series B

    Funding

    xAI closes $6 billion funding round at $24 billion valuation, establishing itself as a major AI competitor.

  13. Musk Founds xAI

    Company Formation

    Elon Musk launches xAI as an artificial intelligence company to compete with OpenAI, recruiting researchers from DeepMind and Google.

  14. SpaceX Founded

    Company Formation

    Elon Musk founds Space Exploration Technologies Corp. with $100 million from his PayPal sale, aiming to reduce space transportation costs.

Scenarios

1

SpaceX IPO Raises $50 Billion, Becomes World's Most Valuable Company

Discussed by: Financial Times, Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley analysts

The merger proceeds smoothly and SpaceX executes its June 2026 IPO at the targeted $1.5 trillion valuation, raising $50 billion—the largest public offering in history. Starlink's growing profitability (projected 25% gross margins by 2026) and the orbital data center narrative attract massive institutional investment. The combined company's diversified revenue streams—launch services, satellite internet, AI infrastructure, and social media—justify the premium valuation.

2

Regulatory Scrutiny Delays or Blocks IPO

Discussed by: Columbia Law School professor Eric Talley, Campaign Legal Center, Congressional investigators

Conflict-of-interest investigations into Musk's DOGE role and his companies' government contracts create regulatory uncertainty. xAI's ongoing investigations in Europe, India, Malaysia, and California over Grok's deepfake capabilities add complexity. Securities regulators require extended disclosure periods or impose conditions that delay the IPO past its June target, potentially into 2027.

3

Orbital Data Centers Prove Technically Infeasible

Discussed by: Moffett Nathanson analysts, TMF Associates President Tim Farrar, aerospace engineers

The orbital data center concept faces insurmountable technical challenges: cooling systems that work in space vacuum, radiation-hardened chips that maintain performance, and launch costs that remain too high even with Starship. The narrative collapses as a marketing tool, but SpaceX's core businesses (launch and Starlink) remain profitable. Investors reassess whether xAI's $1 billion monthly burn rate is sustainable.

4

xAI Cash Burn Drags Down Combined Entity

Discussed by: Bloomberg, PitchBook analysts, venture capital observers

xAI's competition with OpenAI and Anthropic requires continued massive infrastructure spending. Despite the merger, the AI division's $1 billion monthly burn rate pressures SpaceX's profitability just as the company prepares for public market scrutiny. The IPO either raises less than targeted or values the company below expectations, reminiscent of how unprofitable divisions have historically weighed on conglomerate valuations.

Historical Context

Vodafone-Mannesmann (2000)

November 1999 - February 2000

What Happened

British mobile operator Vodafone acquired German industrial conglomerate Mannesmann for $203 billion after a hostile takeover battle, creating the world's largest mobile telecommunications company. The deal involved Vodafone CEO Chris Gent convincing Mannesmann shareholders to accept an all-stock offer during the dot-com boom.

Outcome

Short Term

Vodafone became the world's largest mobile operator with 42 million subscribers across 25 countries.

Long Term

The deal held the record for largest acquisition for 26 years until the SpaceX-xAI merger. Vodafone wrote down over $50 billion in value from the acquisition by 2006 as the telecom bubble burst.

Why It's Relevant Today

The previous record-holder demonstrates both the risks of all-stock mega-mergers during market exuberance and how quickly valuations can deteriorate when underlying assumptions prove wrong.

AOL-Time Warner (2000)

January 2000 - June 2009

What Happened

America Online merged with Time Warner for $182 billion, promising to combine AOL's internet dominance with Time Warner's content empire. AOL's market capitalization at the time exceeded Time Warner's despite generating a fraction of the revenue.

Outcome

Short Term

The dot-com bubble burst months after the deal closed. By 2002, the combined company reported a $99 billion loss—one of the largest in corporate history.

Long Term

Time Warner fully divested AOL in 2009. The merger became a cautionary tale about cultural clashes, overvaluation, and betting on technology shifts (dial-up to broadband) that undermined the acquirer's core business.

Why It's Relevant Today

The SpaceX-xAI merger similarly combines a profitable infrastructure business with a fast-growing but cash-burning technology company, raising questions about whether orbital data centers represent the future or an AOL-style bet on technology that may not materialize.

Saudi Aramco IPO (2019)

December 2019

What Happened

Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Aramco) sold 1.5% of its shares on the Riyadh stock exchange, raising $25.6 billion at a $1.7 trillion valuation—the largest IPO in history. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman had originally targeted a $100 billion raise at $2 trillion valuation.

Outcome

Short Term

Aramco's market cap briefly reached $2 trillion on its second trading day. The listing supported Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

Long Term

The IPO raised less than half the original target due to valuation skepticism from international investors. Aramco remained primarily held by the Saudi government and domestic investors.

Why It's Relevant Today

SpaceX's targeted $50 billion IPO would nearly double Aramco's record. The Aramco experience shows that even well-capitalized companies with dominant market positions can struggle to achieve aspirational valuations when international investors scrutinize the deal.

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