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Hawkeye strike: a Palmyra ambush drags the U.S. back into big-ticket warfighting in Syria

Hawkeye strike: a Palmyra ambush drags the U.S. back into big-ticket warfighting in Syria

Force in Play

Jordan confirms its air role; early tallies put ISIS losses at five-plus as the insider-threat question widens.

December 20th, 2025: Jordan confirms Royal Jordanian Air Force participation; early reports cite at least five ISIS killed

Overview

In the first post-strike readout of

Operation Hawkeye Strike

Jordan confirmed its air force flew alongside U.S. forces in the retaliatory package that hit 70+ ISIS targets across central Syria. CENTCOM hasn't released a formal casualty count. But multiple reports citing the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights and AFP put ISIS losses at at least five, including a cell leader tied to drone activity in the east.

The operational message remains

punish fast

avoid war

but the strategic problem has sharpened. The Dec. 13 Palmyra shooter was a recently recruited Syrian internal-security guard under suspicion; the attack also wounded three other U.S. troops. ISIS hasn't claimed the Palmyra assault but has claimed subsequent attacks on Syrian forces; the question is whether the new U.S.–Syria partnership can tighten vetting and force protection fast enough to prevent another attack.

Key Indicators

70+
ISIS targets struck
CENTCOM says the operation hit more than 70 targets across central Syria.
100+
Precision munitions used
CENTCOM said the strike package employed more than 100 precision munitions.
3
Americans killed in the Palmyra attack
Two U.S. soldiers and a U.S. civilian interpreter were killed on Dec. 13.
3
U.S. troops wounded in the Palmyra attack
Reporting on Dec. 20 described three additional U.S. troops wounded in the Dec. 13 shooting near Palmyra.
5+
ISIS killed (reported, not confirmed by CENTCOM)
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights/AFP reporting put ISIS losses at at least five, including a cell leader; U.S. officials have not confirmed a figure.
10
Follow-on raids after the ambush
CENTCOM says 10 operations in Syria and Iraq killed or detained 23 operatives.
≈1,000
U.S. troops in Syria (commonly cited)
Recent reporting and officials commonly cite about 1,000 U.S. troops remaining in Syria.

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People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

December 2024 December 2025

11 events Latest: December 20th, 2025 · 5 months ago Showing 8 of 11
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  1. Jordan confirms Royal Jordanian Air Force participation; early reports cite at least five ISIS killed

    Latest Coalition Response

    Jordan said its air force joined the U.S.-led strikes; separate reporting citing SOHR/AFP said at least five ISIS members were killed, including a cell leader, though CENTCOM did not publish a casualty figure.

  2. New details emerge on insider attack; ISIS claims follow-on attacks on Syrian forces

    Force Protection

    Reporting described the Palmyra shooter as a recent internal-security recruit who was under suspicion and said three additional U.S. troops were wounded; ISIS still has not claimed Palmyra but has claimed subsequent attacks on Syrian security forces, including one in Idlib province.

  3. CENTCOM launches Operation Hawkeye Strike across central Syria

    Military Operation

    CENTCOM struck more than 70 ISIS targets with over 100 precision munitions; Jordan provided air support.

  4. Congress permanently repeals sweeping Assad-era sanctions; Damascus celebrates

    Policy

    Syria welcomed permanent repeal of major sanctions as tied to reconstruction and counterterrorism benchmarks.

  5. Dover dignified transfer underscores the political cost of a “small” Syria mission

    Domestic Politics

    Trump and Hegseth attended the return of the three Americans killed in Syria, with retaliation promised publicly.

  6. Palmyra ambush kills two U.S. soldiers and a U.S. interpreter

    Attack

    U.S. officials said a lone ISIS-linked attacker struck U.S. and Syrian personnel near Palmyra; the attacker was killed.

  7. Trump hosts Syria’s al-Sharaa at the White House; Syria joins the anti-ISIS coalition politically

    Diplomacy

    The meeting accelerated U.S.–Syria coordination against ISIS while Damascus pushed for permanent sanctions repeal.

  8. Trump signs executive order terminating the Syria sanctions program

    Policy

    The White House framed sanctions removal as support for stability while keeping terrorism-linked designations in place.

  9. Treasury issues General License 25 as Washington begins unwinding Syria sanctions

    Policy

    OFAC authorized broad transactions with Syria as part of a sanctions-relief package tied to the post-Assad transition.

  10. Pentagon plans to shrink Syria footprint below 1,000 troops

    Force Posture

    Officials said forces would consolidate to fewer locations as the counter-ISIS mission continued.

  11. Pentagon admits Syria troop presence is far higher than previously briefed

    Disclosure

    The Defense Department said about 2,000 U.S. troops were in Syria, versus the repeatedly cited 900 core figure.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

2014–2019

Operation Inherent Resolve (ISIS territorial defeat era)

After ISIS seized territory across Syria and Iraq, the U.S. led a long coalition air-and-ground campaign with local partners. The “caliphate” lost its major cities and collapsed territorially, but ISIS cells persisted and adapted.

Then

ISIS lost control of territory; coalition operations became more targeted and advisory.

Now

ISIS survived as an insurgency, periodically spiking attacks when governance weakens.

Why this matters now

Hawkeye Strike is the modern sequel: standoff firepower against an insurgency that never fully died.

August 2021

Kabul Airport bombing and U.S. retaliation against ISIS-K

A mass-casualty ISIS-K attack hit the U.S. during a high-stakes transition, forcing rapid retaliation decisions under political pressure. The U.S. struck back quickly, but faced enduring questions about intelligence, partners, and exposure.

Then

U.S. conducted retaliatory action and tightened force-protection posture.

Now

ISIS-K remained active, showing punishment doesn’t automatically end the threat.

Why this matters now

It’s a reminder that revenge strikes satisfy urgency, but don’t end insurgent capacity by themselves.

2023–2024

U.S. retaliation cycle after attacks on U.S. forces in the region

Repeated attacks on U.S. personnel in the Middle East produced a pattern: casualties, vows of response, then calibrated strikes meant to deter without widening war. Adversaries often tested the boundaries again.

Then

Deterrence sometimes held briefly, sometimes failed quickly.

Now

The core dilemma persisted: force protection versus escalation risk.

Why this matters now

Hawkeye Strike fits this playbook—and inherits its weaknesses if ISIS can hit again.

Sources

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