Russia’s first “weaponize winter” campaign in Ukraine
Russia shifted to repeated long-range strikes on substations and generation, aiming to create prolonged blackouts and heating failures. Ukraine adapted through repairs, dispersal, imports, and air-defense prioritization, but civilian life remained intermittently disrupted for months.
Ukraine endured rolling outages but avoided systemic collapse of the national grid.
The pattern became seasonal, with infrastructure hardening and Russia adjusting targeting.
It explains why December blackouts are not “new”—they are a returning strategy at higher scale.
