Arctic tundra shrubification (1980s-present)
Satellite NDVI records since the 1980s show the Arctic tundra greening as shrubs expand into herbaceous tundra. Research in northeastern Canada found two distinct waves of greening centered around 1996 and 2011, only the first clearly tied to summer warming.
Shrub cover increased across circumpolar tundra, documented in field plots and satellite records.
Greening proved non-monotonic, with periods of growth and pause that temperature alone did not explain.
The Northeast alpine study uses the same NDVI method and shows the same shrubification mechanism on mountaintops, making it a lower-latitude analog of Arctic change.
