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Trump's Greenland push reaches White House talks

Trump's Greenland push reaches White House talks

Force in Play
By Newzino Staff | |

Trump threatens escalating tariffs as Europe unites against acquisition push

January 19th, 2026: Trump Links Greenland Push to Nobel Peace Prize Snub in Letter to Norway

Overview

The United States has not acquired sovereign territory since 1917, when it purchased the Virgin Islands from Denmark for $25 million. Now, after President Trump announced on January 17 that he will impose 10% tariffs on eight European nations starting February 1—escalating to 25% by June 1 unless a deal is reached for Greenland—the transatlantic alliance faces its gravest crisis since World War II. In an unprecedented show of unity, the leaders of Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and the United Kingdom issued a joint statement condemning the tariffs as undermining transatlantic relations and risking a 'dangerous downward spiral.' An estimated 10,000 Danes and 5,000 Greenlanders—nearly 10% of Greenland's population—protested in the streets. On January 19, Trump sent a letter to Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre stating he no longer felt an 'obligation to think purely of Peace' after the Norwegian Nobel Committee did not award him the Nobel Peace Prize, explicitly linking his perceived snub to his Greenland demands.

Key Indicators

$700B
Estimated acquisition cost
U.S. officials' high-end estimate for purchasing Greenland, more than half the annual Defense Department budget
85%
Greenlanders opposing U.S. rule
Share of Greenlandic population that does not want to become American, per 2025 polling
57,000
Greenland population
Residents of the world's largest island, which has more autonomy than any other Danish territory
8 Nations
Facing U.S. tariffs
Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, UK, Netherlands, and Finland face 10-25% tariffs until Greenland deal reached
€107.7B
Potential EU counter-tariffs
Value of retaliatory tariffs European officials are considering against the United States

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People Involved

Donald Trump
Donald Trump
President of the United States (Actively pursuing Greenland acquisition)
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
Vice President of the United States (Led White House meeting that ended in 'fundamental disagreement')
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
U.S. Secretary of State (Directed to develop Greenland acquisition proposal)
Mette Frederiksen
Mette Frederiksen
Prime Minister of Denmark (Leading Danish resistance to acquisition)
Jens-Frederik Nielsen
Jens-Frederik Nielsen
Prime Minister of Greenland (Rejecting U.S. acquisition while pursuing gradual independence)
Lars Løkke Rasmussen
Lars Løkke Rasmussen
Minister of Foreign Affairs of Denmark (Leading White House delegation)
Vivian Motzfeldt
Vivian Motzfeldt
Minister of Foreign Affairs and Independence of Greenland (Representing Greenland in White House talks)
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
U.S. Senator from Alaska (Republican) (Leading congressional opposition to Greenland acquisition)
Chris Coons
Chris Coons
U.S. Senator from Delaware (Democrat) (Leading congressional delegation to Denmark)
Dmitry Peskov
Dmitry Peskov
Kremlin Press Secretary (Monitoring U.S.-Greenland situation)

Organizations Involved

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
Military alliance
Status: Alliance cohesion tested by member-on-member threats and European independent deployment

The alliance's collective defense principle—an attack on one is an attack on all—has never contemplated one member threatening to attack another.

Danish Armed Forces
Danish Armed Forces
Military
Status: Increasing Arctic presence

Denmark has committed over $6 billion to Arctic defense since 2025, including new vessels, aircraft, and a specialized Arctic unit.

Pituffik Space Base (formerly Thule Air Base)
Pituffik Space Base (formerly Thule Air Base)
U.S. Military Installation
Status: Operational

The northernmost U.S. military installation, 750 miles north of the Arctic Circle, hosting missile warning and space surveillance missions.

European Arctic Coalition (Informal)
European Arctic Coalition (Informal)
Military Alliance
Status: Deploying forces to Greenland

Informal coalition of France, Germany, Norway, Sweden, Finland, and Netherlands deploying military personnel to Greenland outside NATO command structure in response to U.S. threats.

U.S. Congress
U.S. Congress
Legislative Body
Status: Bipartisan opposition to Greenland acquisition

Both Republican and Democratic lawmakers have expressed opposition to forcible acquisition of Greenland, with legislative efforts to block funding.

Timeline

  1. Trump Links Greenland Push to Nobel Peace Prize Snub in Letter to Norway

    Diplomacy

    Trump sends letter to Norwegian PM Jonas Gahr Støre stating 'Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace.' Letter sent in response to Norwegian and Finnish leaders' request for de-escalation. Norwegian government notes it does not control Nobel Committee decisions.

  2. Norwegian and Finnish Leaders Request De-escalation Call

    Diplomacy

    Norwegian PM Jonas Gahr Støre and Finnish President Alexander Stubb send message to Trump conveying opposition to tariffs, pointing to need to de-escalate, and proposing three-way telephone conversation. Trump's Nobel Prize letter sent in response.

  3. Eight European Leaders Issue Joint Statement Against U.S. Tariffs

    Diplomacy

    Leaders of Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and UK issue joint statement condemning tariff threats, warning they 'undermine transatlantic relations and risk a dangerous downward spiral.' Statement declares 'full solidarity' with Denmark and Greenland.

  4. EU Ambassadors Hold Emergency Meeting, Extraordinary Council Convened

    Diplomacy

    European Union's 27 ambassadors hold emergency meeting in Brussels to discuss Trump's tariff threats. European Council President Antonio Costa announces he will convene extraordinary meeting of the European Council within days to coordinate response.

  5. U.S. Senators Explore Legislative Options to Block Trump

    Congressional Action

    Senators Tim Kaine (D-VA) and Rand Paul (R-KY) explore three legislative options: writing new war powers resolution regarding Greenland, challenging Trump's tariff authority, and relying on law requiring congressional approval for NATO withdrawal.

  6. Macron Requests Activation of EU Anti-Coercion Instrument

    Economic Response

    French President Emmanuel Macron requests EU activate Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI)—the bloc's 'trade bazooka' adopted in 2023 but never used. Tool allows EU to take retaliatory action including restricting American access to tenders and investment proposals in response to economic coercion.

  7. Republican Senator Tillis Calls Trump's Greenland Coercion 'Beyond Stupid'

    Congressional Action

    Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), member of congressional delegation to Denmark, publicly blasts Trump's tariff announcement: 'The fact that a small handful of 'advisors' are actively pushing for coercive action to seize the territory of an ally is beyond stupid.'

  8. Congressional Delegation Arrives in Copenhagen

    Diplomacy

    Senator Chris Coons leads bipartisan delegation of nine lawmakers to Denmark, signaling congressional support for the alliance.

  9. Mass Protests in Denmark and Greenland Against U.S. Acquisition

    Public Response

    An estimated 10,000 protesters gather in Copenhagen city hall square, while 5,000 demonstrate in Nuuk—nearly 10% of Greenland's population—against Trump's acquisition threats and tariff announcements.

  10. European Officials Warn of €107.7 Billion in Counter-Tariffs

    Economic Response

    European capitals signal potential retaliation with €107.71 billion worth of counter-tariffs or restrictions on American companies from the bloc's market in response to Trump's threats.

  11. Congressional Delegation Completes Denmark Visit

    Diplomacy

    Bipartisan delegation of 11 lawmakers concludes reassurance tour in Denmark, meeting with PM Frederiksen and Greenlandic officials. Sen. Lisa Murkowski tells NBC News 'support in Congress to acquire Greenland in any way is not there.' Trump announces tariffs as delegation wraps up.

  12. Congressional Delegation Arrives in Copenhagen

    Diplomacy

    Nine-member bipartisan delegation led by Senators Coons, Murkowski, and Tillis meets with Danish PM Frederiksen and Greenlandic PM Nielsen, explicitly opposing Trump's acquisition plans. Murkowski introduces legislation blocking use of Defense funds to annex NATO ally territory.

  13. Trump Threatens Tariffs on Countries Opposing Acquisition

    Economic Coercion

    Trump announces he 'may put a tariff on countries if they don't go along with Greenland,' escalating from diplomatic and military threats to economic pressure. Does not specify rate but references 25% tariffs discussed moments earlier.

  14. Russia Calls Situation 'Extraordinary' Under International Law

    International Response

    Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov says Russia is monitoring Trump's Greenland push, calling it 'unusual, I would even say extraordinary from the standpoint of international law.' Confirms Russia considers Greenland part of Denmark.

  15. European NATO Troops Deploy to Greenland

    Military

    France (15 soldiers), Germany (13 personnel), Norway (2 officers), and Sweden deploy troops to Greenland for 'Arctic Endurance' exercises and reconnaissance. First European deployment outside NATO framework in response to Trump threats. Finland and Netherlands also confirm participation.

  16. White House Hosts Danish and Greenlandic Foreign Ministers

    Diplomacy

    VP Vance and Secretary Rubio meet with Foreign Ministers Rasmussen and Motzfeldt. Denmark increases military presence around Greenland. U.S. estimates acquisition at up to $700 billion.

  17. U.S.-Denmark Working Group Established After Deadlocked Talks

    Diplomacy

    White House meeting ends with agreement to form high-level working group to explore 'common way forward' on security concerns. Danish FM Rasmussen confirms 'fundamental disagreement' remains, stating 'It's clear the president has this wish of conquering Greenland.' Meeting described as 'frank but constructive.'

  18. Greenland PM Declares: 'We Choose Denmark'

    Statement

    Prime Minister Nielsen and PM Frederiksen hold joint press conference. Nielsen states Greenland chooses Denmark, NATO, and the EU over the United States.

  19. Trump: 'We're Going to Do Something' on Greenland

    Statement

    Trump states the U.S. will act on Greenland 'whether they like it or not,' escalating rhetoric ahead of diplomatic talks.

  20. Nordic Foreign Ministers Issue Joint Statement

    Diplomacy

    Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden declare commitment to Arctic security and sovereignty, implicitly rebuking U.S. threats.

  21. Frederiksen Urges Trump to 'Stop the Threats'

    Statement

    Danish Prime Minister publicly calls on Trump to cease threatening a NATO ally, following U.S. military capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro.

  22. Denmark Announces $4.26 Billion Arctic Defense Package

    Military

    Denmark commits DKK 27.4 billion to Arctic defense, including 16 F-35s, Arctic vessels, and surveillance systems for Greenland.

  23. Greenland Elects New Pro-Independence Government

    Election

    Demokraatit wins plurality in general election. Jens-Frederik Nielsen becomes youngest prime minister, campaigning on gradual independence.

  24. Donald Trump Jr. Visits Greenland

    Visit

    Trump's eldest son flies to Nuuk for a day trip, filming podcast content. Trump refuses to rule out military force to acquire Greenland.

  25. President-Elect Trump Revives Greenland Push

    Statement

    Trump declares U.S. control of Greenland an 'absolute necessity' shortly after winning the 2024 election, intensifying his 2019 proposal.

  26. Trump Cancels Denmark Visit

    Diplomacy

    Trump cancels planned state visit to Denmark after Prime Minister Frederiksen rejects Greenland sale, calling her response 'nasty.'

  27. Trump Proposes Buying Greenland

    Statement

    Trump publicly proposes purchasing Greenland, comparing it to 'a large real estate deal.' Denmark calls the idea absurd.

  28. Greenland Self-Government Act Takes Effect

    Governance

    Greenland gains expanded autonomy over police, courts, and most domestic affairs. The act includes a path to full independence via referendum.

  29. Greenland Defense Agreement Signed

    Treaty

    Denmark and the U.S. sign the agreement allowing American military operations in Greenland under NATO framework, leading to construction of Thule Air Base.

  30. Truman Offers $100 Million for Greenland

    Diplomacy

    President Harry Truman offers Denmark $100 million in gold for Greenland following WWII. Denmark rejects the offer.

Scenarios

1

Diplomatic Stalemate: Trump Rhetoric Continues, No Acquisition

Discussed by: European analysts, Chatham House, Atlantic Council commentators

Trump maintains aggressive rhetoric but takes no concrete action beyond diplomatic pressure. Denmark and Greenland continue rejecting any sale, while expanding Arctic defense cooperation. The crisis persists as background noise without resolution, damaging U.S.-European relations but not breaking NATO. This mirrors Trump's 2019 approach, where he abandoned the effort after Denmark's rebuff.

2

Negotiated Cooperation: Expanded U.S. Arctic Access Without Sovereignty Transfer

Discussed by: Danish Foreign Ministry, some U.S. defense analysts, Council on Foreign Relations

Denmark offers enhanced U.S. military access, joint Arctic operations, and mineral extraction rights in exchange for dropping sovereignty demands. Greenland receives direct economic benefits. Trump claims victory for 'protecting American interests' without formal acquisition. This outcome would require Trump to accept something short of his stated goal of full control.

3

Economic Coercion: U.S. Tariffs and Sanctions on Denmark

Discussed by: European security analysts, Foreign Affairs contributors, Al Jazeera

Trump imposes punitive tariffs or sanctions on Denmark to pressure concessions on Greenland. Europe retaliates with counter-measures. NATO cohesion fractures as the alliance divides over whether to support Denmark against the United States. European defense cooperation accelerates independently of American leadership.

4

NATO Collapse: U.S. Military Action Against Greenland

Discussed by: Danish PM Frederiksen, European Commission, security analysts (as worst-case scenario)

The U.S. attempts military seizure or occupation of Greenland. Denmark invokes Article 5, creating an impossible situation where NATO members must choose sides against each other. The alliance effectively dissolves. European nations accelerate independent defense capabilities. Russia and China gain strategic advantage from Western disunity. Analysts treat this as catastrophic but not impossible given Trump's explicit refusal to rule out force.

5

Greenland Accelerates Independence, Complicates All Scenarios

Discussed by: Arctic analysts, Greenlandic political observers, Council on Foreign Relations

Trump's pressure accelerates Greenland's independence movement. If Greenland becomes a sovereign nation, it would no longer be part of the Danish realm—but neither would it become American. An independent Greenland could negotiate its own security arrangements, potentially playing U.S., European, and even Chinese interests against each other. Recent polling shows 84% of Greenlanders want independence from Denmark.

6

Tariff War Fractures NATO and Transatlantic Trade

Discussed by: European Commission officials, Atlantic Council, trade policy analysts

Trump implements punitive tariffs against European nations opposing Greenland acquisition. Europe retaliates with counter-tariffs. Economic warfare compounds security crisis, accelerating European defense independence and potentially forcing NATO members to choose between alliance obligations and trade interests. Congressional opposition may limit executive tariff authority.

Historical Context

Russia's Annexation of Crimea (2014)

February-March 2014

What Happened

Russian special forces occupied Ukraine's Crimean peninsula in February 2014. A disputed referendum followed in March, with Russian-organized authorities claiming 97% support for joining Russia. Moscow formally annexed the territory on March 18.

Outcome

Short Term

The G8 suspended Russia, the West imposed sanctions, and the UN General Assembly voted 100-11 to reject the annexation. Most nations refused to recognize Russia's territorial claim.

Long Term

The annexation preceded Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Analysts argue weak Western response in 2014 emboldened Putin's later aggression, ultimately killing hundreds of thousands.

Why It's Relevant Today

Trump's explicit refusal to rule out military force against Greenland—a NATO ally—evokes comparisons to Russian annexation logic. European leaders warn that U.S. violation of Danish sovereignty would have 'unprecedented' consequences for the international order that the U.S. itself built.

U.S. Purchase of the Virgin Islands (1917)

March 1917

What Happened

The United States purchased the Danish West Indies (St. Thomas, St. John, St. Croix) from Denmark for $25 million in gold—the equivalent of roughly $600 million today. The U.S. sought the islands to protect the Panama Canal during World War I.

Outcome

Short Term

The islands became U.S. territory. Danish subjects received U.S. citizenship. The acquisition proceeded through treaty ratified by the Senate.

Long Term

This remains the last time the U.S. acquired sovereign territory through purchase. The residents had no vote in the transfer—a process now considered incompatible with self-determination principles.

Why It's Relevant Today

The Virgin Islands purchase is the direct precedent for U.S.-Danish territorial transactions—and the last time such a deal occurred. However, the 1917 transfer happened before modern international law established that peoples have the right to determine their own governance. Greenland's 57,000 residents have explicitly rejected American rule.

Alaska Purchase (1867)

March-October 1867

What Happened

Secretary of State William Seward negotiated the purchase of Alaska from Russia for $7.2 million ($12 per square mile). Critics called it 'Seward's Folly.' The territory was more than twice the size of Texas.

Outcome

Short Term

Alaska became a U.S. territory with minimal infrastructure and no clear economic value. Many Americans viewed the purchase as wasteful.

Long Term

Alaska became a state in 1959. Its oil reserves proved enormously valuable. The purchase is now viewed as a strategic masterstroke that extended U.S. presence to the Arctic.

Why It's Relevant Today

Trump and his advisors explicitly cite Alaska as precedent for Greenland acquisition. However, Russia sold Alaska willingly to deny it to Britain; Denmark is not a willing seller. The constitutional process required Senate treaty ratification—a path that would require 67 votes Trump does not have, given bipartisan congressional opposition.

Sources

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