Pull to refresh
Logo
Daily Brief
Following
Why Ranks Sign Up
America's second exit from Iraq

America's second exit from Iraq

Force in Play

After 12 years fighting ISIS, US forces hand Al-Asad Air Base back to Iraqi control

January 18th, 2026: Al-Asad handover completed

Overview

The United States returned to Iraq in 2014 after ISIS captured Mosul and threatened Baghdad. On January 17, 2026, American forces completed their withdrawal from federal Iraqi territory, with the Iraqi Army assuming full control of Al-Asad Air Base in Anbar province.

The facility once housed up to 5,000 coalition troops and survived Iranian missile strikes in 2020. Roughly 2,000 US troops remain in Iraq's Kurdistan region and Syria to continue counter-ISIS operations through at least September 2026. The withdrawal immediately tested Prime Minister Sudani's pledge that foreign forces leaving would eliminate justification for armed groups outside state control.

Within days, nearly 5,000 fighters from Iran-backed PMF factions, including Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, crossed into Iran to help suppress ongoing protests against Tehran's government. The move revealed the limits of Baghdad's authority over militias formally integrated into state security structures. Whether this withdrawal resembles 2011's temporary exit or marks a permanent shift depends on Iraq's ability to assert sovereignty over armed groups that answer to Tehran.

Questions about this story

No questions yet — be the first to ask.

Key Indicators

2,500
US troops in Iraq (pre-withdrawal)
Peak coalition presence during the counter-ISIS mission; now below 2,000 concentrated in Kurdistan
12
Years of continuous presence
US forces returned in 2014 after ISIS captured Mosul; this marks the longest sustained deployment since 2003
42,000
Square miles liberated from ISIS
Territory recaptured by coalition-backed forces across Iraq and Syria since 2014
180+
Militia attacks on US forces
Strikes by Iran-backed groups since October 2023, killing 3 US soldiers in Jordan

Voices

Curated perspectives — historical figures and your fellow readers.

Ever wondered what historical figures would say about today's headlines?

Sign up to generate historical perspectives on this story.

Play

Exploring all sides of a story is often best achieved with Play.

Log in to play. Track your picks, climb the leaderboards. Log in Sign Up
Predict 4 ways this could play out. Contrarian picks score more — points lock when the scenario resolves. Log in to play
Timeline Five events from this story — drag them oldest to newest. Log in to play
Connections Sixteen names from the news. Find the four hidden groups of four. Log in to play

People Involved

Organizations Involved

Timeline

December 2011 January 2026

18 events Latest: January 18th, 2026 · 5 months ago Showing 8 of 18
Tap a bar to jump to that date
  1. Al-Asad handover completed

    Latest Withdrawal

    Iraqi Army assumes full control of Al-Asad Air Base. All US personnel and equipment removed from the facility.

  2. Iraq announces completion of federal withdrawal

    Withdrawal

    Iraqi government formally announces US forces completed full withdrawal from military facilities within federal territory, excluding Kurdistan region.

  3. Iran welcomes Al-Asad evacuation

    Political

    Iranian government expresses satisfaction with US withdrawal from Al-Asad Air Base, calling it a positive development.

  4. US warns Iran over militia use against protesters

    Political

    Washington warns Tehran against deploying foreign militias to suppress Iranian protests after Iraqi PMF fighters cross border.

  5. Iraqi militias deploy to Iran for protest suppression

    Political

    Nearly 5,000 fighters from Iran-backed Iraqi militias including Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba cross into Iran to help suppress anti-government protests.

  6. Sudani announces small force will remain

    Policy

    PM reverses full withdrawal plan; 250-350 advisers stay at Al-Asad due to 'developments in Syria.'

  7. US begins Al-Asad withdrawal

    Withdrawal

    American forces start departing Al-Asad as part of transition to bilateral security relationship.

  8. Assad regime falls in Syria

    Political

    Syrian government collapses after rebel offensive. US doubles Syria troop presence to counter ISIS resurgence risk.

  9. US-Iraq withdrawal agreement signed

    Agreement

    Baghdad and Washington agree to end coalition mission in Iraq by September 2025, with Syria operations continuing to 2026.

  10. Tower 22 attack kills 3 US soldiers

    Attack

    Drone strike on Jordan base near Syria border causes first US combat deaths since 2020.

  11. Militia attacks on US bases resume

    Attack

    Islamic Resistance in Iraq begins drone and rocket attacks on US forces following Hamas attack on Israel.

  12. Iran strikes Al-Asad with ballistic missiles

    Attack

    IRGC launches Operation Martyr Soleimani, firing 12+ missiles at Al-Asad Air Base. No US fatalities.

  13. US kills Qasem Soleimani

    Military

    Drone strike at Baghdad airport kills IRGC-Quds Force commander and Iraqi militia leader.

  14. Iraq declares victory over ISIS

    Military

    Prime Minister Abadi announces liberation of all Iraqi territory from Islamic State control.

  15. Operation Inherent Resolve established

    Military

    Pentagon creates Combined Joint Task Force to coordinate 86-nation coalition against ISIS.

  16. Obama orders US forces back to Iraq

    Policy

    President Obama dispatches 300 special operations troops to advise Iraqi forces against ISIS.

  17. ISIS captures Mosul

    Military

    Islamic State seizes Iraq's second-largest city; Iraqi Army divisions collapse within hours.

  18. US completes first Iraq withdrawal

    Withdrawal

    Last US combat troops depart Iraq per 2008 Status of Forces Agreement, ending Operation Iraqi Freedom.

Historical Context

3 moments from history that rhyme with this story — and how they unfolded.

December 2011

US Withdrawal from Iraq (2011)

Under the 2008 Status of Forces Agreement signed by President Bush, the last 50,000 US troops departed Iraq by December 18, 2011. President Obama had sought to keep 10,000 troops but negotiations collapsed when Iraq's parliament refused to grant legal immunity to remaining forces.

Then

Prime Minister Maliki consolidated power, purging Sunni officials and military leaders. Sectarian tensions escalated.

Now

By June 2014, ISIS captured Mosul with minimal resistance from an Iraqi Army hollowed out by political interference. The US returned within months, restarting the cycle this withdrawal now completes.

Why this matters now

The 2011 withdrawal created conditions for ISIS's rise. This time, US officials argue Iraqi forces are more capable, but the test of that claim lies ahead. The question isn't whether the US is leaving—it's whether the departure sticks.

September 1991 – November 1992

US Bases Close in Philippines (1991-1992)

The Philippine Senate rejected renewal of the bases agreement by a 12-11 vote in September 1991, following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. Clark Air Base closed in November 1991; Subic Bay Naval Base in November 1992—ending nearly a century of US military presence.

Then

The Philippines lost billions in base-related economic activity. The US lost its largest overseas air and naval facilities.

Now

Rising Chinese assertiveness in the South China Sea shifted Philippine calculus. In 2014, the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement brought US forces back to Philippine bases on a rotational basis.

Why this matters now

Demonstrates how withdrawals driven by domestic politics can reverse when strategic circumstances change. China's regional expansion prompted Manila to invite US forces back; a similar dynamic could occur if ISIS resurges or Iran's influence grows.

May 1988 – February 1989

Soviet Withdrawal from Afghanistan (1989)

After nine years of counterinsurgency against US-backed mujahideen, the Soviet Union withdrew 100,000 troops under the Geneva Accords. The last Soviet soldier crossed the Friendship Bridge on February 15, 1989.

Then

The Moscow-backed Najibullah government survived three years, longer than Western analysts predicted, sustained by continued Soviet aid.

Now

When Soviet aid ended in 1992, the government collapsed. Afghanistan descended into civil war, enabling the Taliban's 1996 takeover and eventual al-Qaeda sanctuary.

Why this matters now

Shows that withdrawal outcomes depend less on the departure itself than on sustained support afterward. The US pledges continued advisory relationships and aid to Iraqi forces—the durability of that commitment will shape whether this withdrawal resembles the Philippines (temporary) or Afghanistan (lasting).

Sources

(15)