Soviet Withdrawal from Afghanistan (1989)
After nine years of counterinsurgency against US-backed mujahideen, the Soviet Union withdrew 100,000 troops under the Geneva Accords. The last Soviet soldier crossed the Friendship Bridge on February 15, 1989.
The Moscow-backed Najibullah government survived three years, longer than Western analysts predicted, sustained by continued Soviet aid.
When Soviet aid ended in 1992, the government collapsed. Afghanistan descended into civil war, enabling the Taliban's 1996 takeover and eventual al-Qaeda sanctuary.
Shows that withdrawal outcomes depend less on the departure itself than on sustained support afterward. The US pledges continued advisory relationships and aid to Iraqi forces—the durability of that commitment will shape whether this withdrawal resembles the Philippines (temporary) or Afghanistan (lasting).
