Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)

Currently enforcing closure of the Strait of Hormuz

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) shut the Strait of Hormuz on February 28, 2026, after United States and Israeli strikes, choking off about a fifth of global oil supply, driving Brent crude above $126 a barrel, and slashing tanker traffic by 70 percent. A coalition of more than 40 countries—led by the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan—coordinated diplomatic and economic pressure in an April 3 UK-hosted meeting but has not deployed naval assets, awaiting a ceasefire and UN mandate that remains elusive. The US aerial campaign persists, but President Trump has rejected leading diplomacy, insisting allies handle their own energy security.

Updated 3 days ago

Threatens retaliatory strikes on U.S. Gulf energy sites in response to power plant threats; maintains Hormuz control

The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, which began February 28 with Operation Epic Fury, reached a sudden conclusion on April 8 when the United States and Iran agreed to a ceasefire, with Tehran committing to reopen the Strait of Hormuz—closed for 41 days under Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps control. The conflict drove Brent crude above $112 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate above $111 in early April, with the International Energy Agency warning of 12 million barrels per day offline in history's largest oil supply shock. Key triggers included Israel's March 18 strikes on South Pars, U.S. operations in the strait, Yemen's Houthi attacks, and President Trump's expired March 22 ultimatum on Iranian power plants. Japan released reserves on March 16, and the U.S. Energy Information Administration's April 7 outlook reflected prolonged disruption before the surprise de-escalation.

Updated 6 days ago

Conducting expanded retaliatory strikes across Gulf including UAE; declared end to restraint on civilian infrastructure targeting

Since February 28, the US-Iran war has escalated from military and oil targets to critical water infrastructure across the Gulf, now reaching the United Arab Emirates. Key incidents include a March 8 Iranian drone strike on a Bahrain desalination plant, an April 3 attack on Kuwait power and desalination plants with the Mina al-Ahmadi oil refinery, April 5 strikes on two Kuwait power and water desalination plants plus Bahrain's Bapco oil storage, and April 7 Iranian missiles and drones targeting UAE air defenses and infrastructure. On April 7, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared that its prior restraint in targeting oil infrastructure and civilian sites in Gulf states 'no longer applies,' marking an explicit escalation threshold after a US strike on Iran's Kharg Island oil export hub.

Updated 7 days ago

Loses intelligence chief Khademi and Quds Force operative Mir to US-Israeli strikes; retaliatory air defenses persist despite cascading leadership losses

Operation Epic Fury, launched jointly by the United States and Israel on February 28, 2026, reached day 39 with the heaviest strikes yet on Iran, confirming over 9,000 targets hit, more than 130 naval vessels destroyed, and at least 55 senior regime leaders killed—including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on March 1, IRGC Navy Commander Alireza Tangsiri on March 26, and on April 6, IRGC intelligence chief Majid Khademi and Quds Force Unit 840 head Yazdan Mir in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran. Key escalations include Iran's March 18 missile strikes on Israel and Gulf states, Qatar's expulsion of Iranian attachés after the March 19 Ras Laffan attack, the Israeli airstrike killing IRGC spokesman General Ali Mohammad Naeini on March 20, CENTCOM's March 21 update confirming 8,000 targets hit and air superiority, Iran's March 24 missile barrages on Tel Aviv, March 27 Israeli strikes on Iran's central naval arms production site and multiple ballistic missile factories in the Tehran area, Iran's April 2 launch of four missile salvos at Israel including cluster warheads, April 3's downing of a US F-15E Strike Eagle—the first American combat aircraft lost—and April 5's successful rescue of both crew members by US special operations forces after a two-day evasion and extraction operation.

Updated 7 days ago

Escalates to coordinated strikes on energy infrastructure across four Gulf states; Hormuz blockade spills into Indian Ocean

Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, now in its 39th day, has evolved into a regional energy war, with over 1,000 vessels worth $25 billion still stranded and roughly 11 million barrels per day offline—more than double the combined shortfalls of the 1973 and 1979 oil shocks, per the International Energy Agency's March 23 crisis declaration. Strikes have hit facilities across Qatar (Ras Laffan LNG, 20% of global supply), Kuwait refineries, Saudi Arabia's Samref refinery, and UAE's Habshan gas plant and Bab oil field since March 19, following Israel's initial attack on Iran's South Pars field. Iraq halted 1.5 million bpd, QatarEnergy LNG remains offline, and Saudi Aramco cut output by 20% to 8 million bpd as storage overflows.

Updated Apr 6

Key power broker in post-Khamenei Iran; controls Strait of Hormuz closure

Japan imports over 90% of its oil through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran shut that strait six weeks ago. Now Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is attempting what her predecessor Shinzo Abe tried and failed to do in 2019: talk Tehran down from the brink, this time with far higher stakes and a ticking clock set by Washington.

Updated Apr 6

Conducting Operation True Promise IV missile campaign against Israel and US assets

Since the United States and Israel launched surprise airstrikes on Iran on February 28, 2026—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and triggering what Washington calls Operation Epic Fury—Iran has fired more than 525 ballistic missiles at Israeli territory. Nearly half carried cluster warheads that scatter dozens of smaller bomblets across wide areas, a weapon type banned by over 100 nations. On April 6, two construction workers were killed in Yehud by cluster submunitions, while a separate ballistic missile collapsed a residential building in Haifa, killing four people after an 18-hour rescue effort.

Updated Apr 6

Conducting retaliatory strikes on US military and corporate targets across the Gulf

For decades, American tech companies built out massive data centers and office complexes across the Persian Gulf without ever treating them as potential military targets. On April 4, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) changed that calculation by striking Oracle's headquarters building in Dubai Internet City with a drone — part of a declared campaign against 18 US firms the IRGC accuses of supporting American and Israeli military operations.

Updated Apr 5

Accused of operating under diplomatic cover in Lebanon

Iran has stationed diplomats, intelligence officers, and Revolutionary Guard operatives in Lebanon for more than four decades, building Hezbollah into the most powerful non-state military force in the Middle East. On March 24, 2026, Lebanon's foreign ministry told Iran's newly appointed ambassador-designate to leave the country within five days — the first time Beirut has ever expelled an Iranian envoy.

Updated Mar 29

Navy destroyed (120+ ships), defenses degraded (~1,000 missiles left); fast boats active; consolidates under Mojtaba Khamenei; positioned for ceasefire or escalation

The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group has operated in the Arabian Sea since late January 2026, joined by USS Gerald R. Ford in the Mediterranean and USS George H.W. Bush, creating triple-carrier presence amid Iran's crackdown on December 2025 protests. On February 25, the U.S. deployed 12 F-22 Raptors to Israel's Ovda Airbase alongside KC-46 tankers—the largest Middle East buildup since 2003. On February 28, U.S.-Israel 'Operation Epic Fury' struck Iranian nuclear sites, navy, and infrastructure, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iran retaliated March 1 with attacks on 27 U.S. bases, Israeli sites, and Gulf states. Hezbollah opened a Lebanon front March 2. By March 25, the Pentagon deployed 2,000-3,000 paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division's Immediate Response Force to supplement 50,000+ U.S. service members already in the region, bringing total ground forces to 6,000-8,000 near Iran.

Updated Mar 26

Conducting retaliatory operations against US, Israeli, and allied targets

For nearly a decade, Iran insisted it had deliberately capped its ballistic missile range at 2,000 kilometers — far enough to hit Israel and American bases in the Middle East, but not Europe. On March 21, 2026, Iran fired two missiles at the joint US-UK military base on Diego Garcia, a remote Indian Ocean atoll roughly 4,000 kilometers from Iranian territory. One missile failed in flight; a United States warship intercepted the other. Neither struck the base — but the attempt itself rewrote the strategic map.

Updated Mar 22

Conducting retaliatory strikes across Gulf region

Dubai International Airport processed 95.2 million passengers in 2025 and overtook Atlanta in January 2026 as the world's busiest airport. On March 1, Iranian retaliatory missiles and drones struck its terminals, forcing a full evacuation and suspending all operations. On March 16—16 days into the conflict—a drone struck a fuel tank near the airport, reigniting flight suspensions and forcing Emirates to cancel additional flights despite partial airspace reopening. Abu Dhabi, Doha, and Kuwait airports shut down simultaneously on February 28, severing the three Gulf hubs that together route a large share of long-haul traffic between Europe, Asia, and Africa.

Updated Mar 16

Directing Iran's retaliatory campaign

For more than four decades, US embassies in the Middle East and Africa have faced bombings, sieges, and missile strikes. None has been attacked in Western Europe — until an incendiary device detonated at the entrance of the US Embassy in Oslo at 1:00 a.m. on March 8, shattering windows and sending smoke into the street. No one was injured. Norwegian police say terrorism is one hypothesis under investigation, and they are weighing whether the blast is connected to the eight-day-old US-Iran war.

Updated Mar 8

Operating independently of presidential authority during wartime

Iran's Supreme Leader controlled both the presidency and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) for over four decades. Eight days after a joint United States-Israeli airstrike killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, that unified chain of command has visibly fractured: President Masoud Pezeshkian announced a halt to strikes on neighboring countries and personally apologized to Gulf states for hitting their civilian infrastructure, only for the IRGC to strike a U.S. air base in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) hours later and issue a statement telling the public to 'ignore Pezeshkian's words during the war.'

Updated Mar 8

Command structure severely degraded; interim council and remaining branches facing sustained US-Israeli strikes that have reportedly destroyed much of Iran’s missile arsenal and portions of its navy while Tehran continues regional retaliation.

Ali Khamenei ruled Iran as supreme leader for 36 years until joint US-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, killed him along with family members and multiple top military and intelligence officials at his Tehran compound, triggering an opaque succession process under fire. With the Assembly of Experts’ Qom site damaged in Israeli strikes and its deliberations driven underground, acting leader Ali Larijani faces a power vacuum in which the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ interim command council is trying to preserve operational control while missiles and drones continue to fly across the region.

Updated Mar 7

Senior leadership decimated; naval assets targeted in Indian Ocean

For four decades, the United States and Iran avoided direct, large-scale war. That changed on February 28, 2026, when the US and Israel launched coordinated strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, military infrastructure, and leadership compounds, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The assault followed collapsed indirect nuclear talks mediated by Oman. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on US bases in the Gulf, oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, and the US Embassy in Riyadh.

Updated Mar 4

Primary force conducting crackdown

On February 14, 2026, an estimated 250,000 people marched through Munich during the Munich Security Conference, the largest protest ever held in Europe against Iran's government. The same day, 350,000 gathered in Toronto and 60,000 in Los Angeles—part of a coordinated Global Day of Action called by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran's last shah, who has lived outside Iran for 47 years. Reports indicate over one million participated worldwide.

Updated Feb 15

Targeted by new Australian sanctions; fears of US strikes reigniting unrest

Iran's last nationwide uprising killed roughly 500 people over several months in 2022. The current one has killed at least 6,842 people—and possibly more than 30,000—in just over five weeks. On January 24, 2026, the UN Human Rights Council voted 25-7 to extend an independent investigation into what officials are calling the deadliest mass killing in Iran's contemporary history. By January 27, the U.S. had deployed the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln to the Middle East as President Trump weighs military strikes; leaked documents now reveal Supreme Leader Khamenei approved a premeditated blueprint for the crackdown months in advance.[1][2]

Updated Feb 4

Now designated as terrorist organization by EU, US, Canada, Australia

For over two decades, the European Union resisted designating Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization, wary of severing diplomatic ties with Tehran. On January 29, 2026, that resistance collapsed. All 27 EU foreign ministers voted unanimously to place the IRGC on the same legal footing as al-Qaeda, Hamas, and Islamic State—a designation that triggers automatic asset freezes and travel bans across the bloc. Within hours, the United Kingdom signaled it would follow suit with separate legislation targeting hostile state agencies.

Updated Jan 31

Designated as terrorist organization by EU; 214 members killed in protests

Bazaar merchants bankrolled Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution. Now they're in the streets demanding its end. What began December 28 as protests over the rial's collapse to record lows escalated into the largest uprising in the Islamic Republic's 46-year history—spreading to all 31 provinces and uniting working-class laborers, students, and merchants in calls for regime change. The death toll remains highly disputed: activist groups have verified at least 6,100 killed, while leaked government documents suggest 27,500-36,500 deaths. By January 17, the regime had reestablished control through unprecedented force, killing an estimated 147 security personnel in the process.

Updated Jan 31

Designated terrorist organization by EU on January 29, placed on same list as al-Qaeda and ISIS; faces asset freezes, funding prohibition, travel bans; led massacre that killed at least 6,126; hundreds of junior officers defected; carried out at least 52 executions

Iran's nationwide uprising, which began when Tehran's bazaaris marched on December 28, 2025, was crushed through what may be the deadliest massacre in the Islamic Republic's history. While early reports during the internet blackout confirmed 572 deaths, evidence emerging after partial internet restoration in late January reveals at least 6,126 people killed according to the Human Rights Activists News Agency—with some estimates ranging from 12,000 to over 36,500. Most deaths occurred during a 48-hour period on January 8-9 when Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Basij forces opened fire on protesters across all 31 provinces. On January 17, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei publicly acknowledged 'several thousand' people had been killed, while President Trump called him a 'sick man' and declared 'it's time to look for new leadership in Iran.' Over 42,000 have been detained, with at least 52 executions already carried out and the judiciary threatening swift trials for thousands more under 'mohareb' (enemy of God) charges.

Updated Jan 31

Continuing crackdown operations; reports of chemical weapons use

The Islamic Republic has survived four decades of protests—but never anything like this. What began on December 28 as Tehran bazaar merchants protesting a collapsing currency became Iran's largest uprising since the 1979 revolution, with demonstrations reported in all 31 provinces. The government responded with an internet blackout and live ammunition. On January 21, Iran issued its first official death toll: 3,117 killed. Independent monitors report dramatically higher figures—the U.S.-based Human Rights Activists News Agency documented at least 5,002 deaths as of January 23, while a network of Iranian doctors estimates 16,500-18,000 killed and 330,000 injured, making this potentially the deadliest crackdown in modern Iranian history.

Updated Jan 23

Deployed tens of thousands to lock down Tehran; fears defections but none confirmed; lost at least 10 members in Kermanshah clashes

On December 28, shopkeepers in Tehran's Grand Bazaar closed their stalls and took to the streets. The Iranian rial had just hit 1.4 million to the dollar—double its value from a year earlier. Within days, the protests spread to all 31 provinces, evolved from economic grievances into demands for regime change, and drew comparisons to the 1979 revolution that brought the Islamic Republic to power.

Updated Jan 20

Leading crackdown on protesters with live ammunition

Iran's judiciary chief announced January 14 that detained protesters face fast-track trials and executions despite Trump's warning of "very strong action," as the death toll reached at least 2,571 according to Human Rights Activists News Agency—quadrupling in just two days and exceeding any crackdown since the 1979 revolution. Erfan Soltani, 26, became the first protester sentenced to death after a four-day proceeding without legal representation, though his execution was postponed amid international outcry. The U.S. began evacuating hundreds of troops from Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar—home to 10,000 personnel and Central Command's forward headquarters—positioning them out of range should Trump's threatened strikes trigger Iranian missile retaliation.

Updated Jan 14

Leading violent crackdown with live fire on protesters

The Iranian rial lost half its value in six months. On December 28, merchants shut down Tehran's Grand Bazaar—the same traders who helped topple the Shah in 1979. Within two weeks, what began as shopkeeper strikes morphed into the largest uprising since the Islamic Revolution. Now, after five days of near-total internet blackout, the death toll has exploded: credible estimates range from 500 to over 3,000 killed as the IRGC fires live ammunition into crowds hidden from the world's view.

Updated Jan 13